New digital cameras add to zoom and toughen up

Miami Florida Real Estate Is Picture Perfect !

Most point-and-shoot cameras have a midsize LCD preview screen and short zoom lens that brings you slightly closer to the action. That’s about to change. This year, the hottest compact cameras will have much larger zooms and preview screens and will be able to withstand abuse and shoot in low-light situations with better quality. They’ll cost more, but at an average of $350 to $450, you’ll pay a lot less than for an entry-level digital SLR, which starts at around $700.

The photo industry, hoping to reverse two years of declining sales, met here this week for the Photo Marketing Association convention, where new cameras for the spring get introduced.

Here’s a peek at what to look for:

• Samsung’s $449 TL500 has a much wider lens opening than normally found on compacts. The f/1.8 lens opening means that this camera can capture better images at sporting events and school plays, for instance, without having to use a flash. Most digital cameras have a slower, f/3.5 lens.

• Olympus’ new cameras have a built-in manual. The entire manual is stored in memory and can be accessed through the menu.

• Big zooms in small bodies are very popular. Nikon’s $350 Coolpix P100 has a 26x zoom; Fuji’s $249 FinePix S2550HD has an 18x zoom, and Sony’s new $250 Cyber-shot H55 has a smaller 10x zoom in a tinier body. The more powerful zoom is good for both a wider view (think group shots) and getting closer to the action. These cameras also have 720p high-definition video recording. (The cameras will all be out in March.)

• Many cameras have a feature called “face detection” that instructs the camera to expose and focus correctly for faces. Fuji’s new $299 FinePix F80EXR, out in April, adds a “pet-detection” feature along with a 10x zoom.

• Olympus pioneered the rugged compact category with its tough line of waterproof, shockproof and freeze-proof cameras. Now there are rugged compacts from Panasonic, Canon and Casio. Sony calls its new Cyber-shot TX5 the world’s “smallest and thinnest” tough-cam. “What we brought to the category was slimness and design,” says Kelly Davis, director of Sony’s digital camera division. “Normally the waterproof category is chunkier and a little more rugged looking.”

Olympus is fine-tuning its tough-cams. The new $399 Stylus Tough-8010 and $299 Stylus Tough-6020 have added high-def 720p video recording.

“So if you happen to fall or slip while you’re rock climbing, and plummeting down to the water below, you can film the whole thing in high-def on the way down, and continue to film as you go into the deep,” says Sally Smith Clemens, an Olympus product manager.

The next dimension

And if big zooms and cameras you can sit on don’t do the trick, how about a camera that taps into Hollywood’s latest craze: the third dimension? Jim Calverley, a Fuji product manager, thinks 3D could get consumers interested in adding another camera to their arsenal. “In the world of consumer electronics, new things sell,” he says. “People want to have the latest and greatest.”

Fuji’s $599 FinePix Real 3D W1 camera will begin showing up in stores in the spring, but it’s been available online since late 2009. The camera has two lenses and two image sensors. While you don’t need special glasses to view the pictures, you also don’t get the same dramatic 3D look of the movies. It’s more of a subtle look akin to the stereo viewers of yesteryear. For more enhanced 3D, Fuji sells a $500 digital viewer, with an 8-inch LCD, to view pictures. Viewed with 3D glasses, the images are more traditionally third-dimensional.

Chris Chute, an analyst at researcher IDC, doesn’t see camera sales improving. There are just too many homes with cameras. IDC projects industry revenue of $6.6 billion this year, down from $7.1 billion in 2009. But he does think the new features will get buyers to part with some cash.

“People are tired of being told they can’t have fun,” he says. “We’ll see a lot more people on vacation and going to social events. Cameras haven’t gone away at all. There’s a camera for everyone.”

South Florida Home Prices Decline Slowly

South Florida Real Estate

Miami, Florida – Data through December 2009, released today by Standard & Poor’s for its S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, show that the U.S. National Home Price Index fell in the fourth quarter of 2009, but it has improved in its annual rate of return compared to third quarter reports.

The S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index, which covers all nine U.S. census divisions, recorded a 2.5 percent decline in the fourth quarter of 2009 versus the fourth quarter of 2008. While down, it’s a significant improvement over the annual rates reported in the first, second and third quarters of the year, at -19.0 percent, -14.7 percent and -8.7 percent, respectively.

In December, the 10-City and 20-City Composites recorded annual declines of 2.4 percent and 3.1 percent, respectively. These two indices, which are reported monthly, have seen improvements in their annual rates of return every month since the beginning of the year.

“As measured by prices, the housing market is definitely in better shape than it was this time last year, as the pace of deterioration has stabilized for now. However, the rate of improvement seen during the summer of 2009 has not been sustained,” says David M. Blitzer, Chairman of the Index Committee at Standard & Poor’s.

“In the most recent months, we are seeing fewer and fewer MSAs reporting monthly gains in prices. Only four cities saw month-to-month improvements in December over November when you look at the raw data. We are in a seasonally slow period for home prices, however, so it is not surprising to see better statistics in the seasonally-adjusted data, where 14 of the markets and the two monthly composites all rose in December. Similarly, the National Composite fell by 1.1 percent in the fourth quarter, but rose by 1.6 percent on a seasonally-adjusted basis.”

As of the 4th quarter of 2009, average home prices across the United States are at similar levels to what they were in the summer of 2003. The 4th quarter values fell when compared to the 3rd quarter; however, the decline in the annual rate of return has significantly improved.

The 10-City and 20-City Composites continue to show improvement in their annual rates of return. In fact, all 20 metro areas and the two Composites saw improvement in their annual returns compared to November’s data. Only three cities – Detroit, Las Vegas and Tampa – still showed double digit annual rates of decline as of the end of 2009. Miami, Phoenix and Seattle all moved above such rates with December’s report.

Looking at the monthly statistics, 15 of the 20 metro areas showed a decline in December over November, with Chicago posting the sharpest decline, down 1.6 percent. Las Vegas finally posted its first positive print in more than three years, with +0.2 percent. The Southwest continues to be a bright spot, with San Diego posting its eighth consecutive monthly increase, and Los Angeles and Phoenix both posting their seventh. Three of the markets – Charlotte, Seattle and Tampa – posted new low index levels as measured by the past four years.

In other words, any gains they might have seen in recent months have been erased and December is now considered their current trough value, according to the data.

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Forecast hopeful with first-time homebuyers leading the way. Miami Real Estate 800-819-5466

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Aided by the homebuyer tax credit, the outlook for housing and the economy appears headed for a sustainable recovery, according to the National Association of Realtors® (NAR).

“Given the success of the first-time buyer tax credit to date, and the need for qualified buyers to continue to absorb inventory that will include additional foreclosures over the coming year, we are hopeful about the impact of the expanded tax credit because it will stabilize home prices,” says Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist. “In fact, the credit is working better than first projected – it now looks like we’ll have 2.3 to 2.4 million first-time buyers this year.”

The 2009 National Association of Realtors Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers shows that first-time buyers accounted for a record 47 percent share of home sales over the past year, up from 41 percent in the 2008 survey. The share has risen steadily since a cyclical low of 36 percent in 2006.

Existing-home sales are expected to total 5.01 million in 2009, a gain of 2.0 percent over last year, and then are forecast to rise 13.6 percent to 5.69 million in 2010. “A steady draw-down of inventory will help home values to turn positive in 2010, but risks such as unemployment remain in the economy,” Yun says.

New-home sales are projected at 397,000 this year, recovering to 549,000 in 2010. Housing starts, including multifamily units, should total 564,000 units this year but grow to 752,000 in 2010.

The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage will probably average 5.3 percent in the fourth quarter, rising gradually to 5.8 percent by the end of next year. NAR’s housing affordability index will set a record in 2009, averaging 30 percentage points higher than 2008. Affordability will decline from record highs next year but will remain at historically attractive levels for homebuyers.

“We’ve seen a steady downtrend in housing inventory for well over a year, and home prices appear to be in the early stages of stabilizing,” Yun says. “With expansion of the tax credit to additional buyers through the middle of next year, and no major unforeseen events impacting the economy, home prices should rise between 3 and 5 percent in 2010, but with wide geographic differences.”

He expects growth in the U.S. gross domestic product to be at a pace of 2.5 percent in the current quarter, with GDP up 2.8 percent in 2010.

The unemployment rate is close to peaking and is projected to ease to 9.5 percent by the end of next year.

“The size of the U.S. budget deficit is a concern going forward and carries the risk of higher inflation. At this point, that risk appears to be restrained,” Yun says. Inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index, is seen contracting 0.4 percent this year, then rising 1.6 percent in 2010. Inflation-adjusted disposable personal income is estimated to grow 0.4 percent this year and 1.2 percent next year.

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Feds: Chinese drywall reports still inconclusive. Miami Real Estate

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WEST PALM BEACH, Florida – Federal studies released Thursday cannot yet definitively link imported Chinese drywall to health problems or corrosion of pipes and wires that thousands of U.S. homeowners have been reporting for nearly a year.

The Consumer Product Safety Commission, which is leading the multi-agency investigation, said it needs to further study the matter before it can consider a recall, ban or other solutions to help affected homeowners. Additional results from ongoing studies were due to be released next month.

“The expansive investigation and scientific work that has been done and continues to be carried out is all aimed at providing answers and solutions,” Lori Saltzman, a director in the CPSC’s Office of Hazard Identification and Reduction, said Thursday. “No connections have been made yet.”

Saltzman said the agency, which has so far spent $3.5 million on the studies, has received nearly 1,900 homeowner complaints during one of its largest consumer product investigations in U.S. history.

“We understand this problem has literally driven people from their homes,” she said.

Homeowners, however, were frustrated by a lack of answers.

“So many of us have been really waiting on these results released today to offer us encouragement, but in fact, we’re quite disappointed,” said Holly Krulik, of Parkland, Florida, about 45 miles north of Miami.

Krulik and her husband, Doug, along with their two young children, moved in with her parents about six months ago because she says the Chinese wallboard in their home was making them sick and ruining the house.

“We’re hanging on by a thread here. When is help going to arrive?” said Krulik, who will soon join hundreds of others who have filed lawsuits.

Thousands of homeowners like the Kruliks who bought new houses built with the potentially defective materials are finding their lives in limbo as the lawsuits against builders, contractors, suppliers and manufacturers wind through the courts.

During the height of the U.S. housing boom, with building materials in short supply, American construction companies imported millions of pounds (kilograms) of Chinese-made drywall because it was abundant and cheap. An Associated Press analysis of shipping records found that more than 500 million pounds (226 million kilograms) of Chinese gypsum board was imported between 2004 and 2008 – enough to have built tens of thousands of homes.

They are heavily concentrated in the Southeast, especially Florida and areas of Louisiana and Mississippi hit hard by Hurricane Katrina.

The defective materials have since been found by state and federal agencies to emit “volatile sulfur compounds.” Officials have also found traces of strontium sulfide, which can produce a rotten-egg odor, along with organic compounds not found in American-made drywall. Homeowners complain the fumes are corroding copper pipes, destroying TVs and air conditioners, blackening jewelry and silverware, and making them sick.

And some homeowners are reporting that their insurance companies are dropping or refusing to renew their policies based on the presence of the wallboard in their houses, putting them at risk of foreclosure.

The federal test results released Thursday largely confirmed what prior testing had found. The multiple agencies investigating, including the CPSC, the Environmental Protection Agency and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, acknowledged the reported health symptoms are consistent with some sort of contamination. But the culprit is unclear.

The Chinese government is assisting with the investigation.

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You didn’t really lose in Miami's housing free fall / Miami Real Estate 305-929-DEAN

Miami, Florida – Stan Smith has some news for longtime homeowners having a pity party over falling house prices in South Florida: New research shows that current home values are just about where they would have been if the real-estate bubble had never inflated and burst.

A long-term view of the market reveals that, even though prices rose and fell dramatically in recent years, they appear to have settled back into historic patterns, according to an analysis by Smith, a University of Central Florida finance professor.

“Most homeowners are within 6 percent of where they would have been had there not been a bubble. The people who have been here since before 2005, they should not have been hurt,” Smith said, though he added: “... A lot of people did buy in 2005 and 2006, and obviously they have been hurt significantly.”

For about a quarter-century, starting in the late 1970s, home prices in Metropolitan Orlando increased 4.7 percent a year on average, according to Smith’s analysis of data from a federal housing-price index. Then the bubble emerged, with prices rising 20 percent in 2005 and 32 percent the following year. Homeowners were elated about their fast-growing equity – at least until the bubble burst in mid-2007.

The sharp drop in prices since then – 22 percent from the 2007 high – may have left the impression that the bursting bubble set back even long-term homeowners for many years to come. Yet prices now are about where you would have expected them to be had the dramatic rise and fall never occurred.

Steve Shapiro, who is trying to sell his Lake Mary home, hadn’t really thought about it before but said it makes sense that the price he is asking for his home of 10 years tracks the area’s long-term pricing trends.

“I think I’m about where it should be with the price,” said the retiree, who has listed his house for $269,000 with Exit Realty Central agent Julie Elrod-Boyd – the same agent who helped him buy it in 1999 for $161,000. He estimated the house would have sold for more than $300,000 about 18 months ago, so the price has retreated 10 percent since then.

“It was nice to think it was worth so much a year and a half ago, but I felt like it was a little inflated,” he said. “All the homes were.”

Volusia County Property Appraiser Morgan Gilreath has obtained results similar to Smith’s in his county.

Gilreath recently plotted home prices from 1996 to the present and concluded they are not far below where they would have been without the bubble. The mid-point, or median, for home prices in Volusia in May was $124,900 – down about $20,000 from where they would have been if they had continued on their long-range trajectory rather than inflating and deflating in recent years, he said.

A year ago, the median in Volusia was about $50,000 above the historic trend line, he said; two years ago, it was flying about $100,000 above that line.

Gilreath said his analysis was not as thorough as Smith’s research at UCF, but both indicate the residential market is not likely to decline much further.

“The point that the charts are telling us is that we’re close to where we think the bottom is going to be,” he said. “The question is: When is it going to turn around? I have evidence that it is turning around here [in Volusia].”

Smith said prices in the region may continue to fall but are less likely to do so now that they are so near the long-term trend line – a “positive indicator” for coming months.

Les Simmonds, president of the Orlando Regional Realtor Association, said people generally measure their home’s current value against what it was worth a year ago – a short-term view of the market.” I feel strongly that, had we not had this bubble, that the median price of the properties would be a little better than they are now, because of the way they’ve been pushed down [in the post-bubble market] by ... [distressed] properties,” he said.

“I said to my wife last week that, when the market was really high, if we had sold then, we could have made four times what we paid for the house.” The problem, he added, is that most of the people who sold at the peak usually then bought near the top of the market. Shapiro said that, once he sells his Lake Mary house, he is ready to retire to a log cabin in north Georgia and forget about the whims of the real-estate market for a while.

The only thing that will rise and fall on his cabin, he said, will be the runners on his front-porch rocking chair.

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June new home sales rise 11 percent Miami Real Estate 800-819-5466

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WASHINGTON (AP) – New U.S. home sales rose by the largest amount in more than eight years last month, in another sign the housing market is finally bouncing back from the worst downturn in decades.

The Commerce Department said Monday that sales rose 11 percent in June to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 384,000, from an upwardly revised May rate of 346,000.

It was the strongest sales pace since November 2008 and exceeded the forecasts of economists surveyed by Thomson Reuters, who expected a pace of 360,000 units. The last time sales rose so dramatically was in December 2000.

Sales have risen for three straight months. The median sales price of $206,200, however, was down 12 percent from $234,300 a year earlier and down nearly 6 percent from $219,000 in May.

The report is another encouraging sign that the beleaguered housing sector is finally coming back to life. Last Thursday, the National Association of Realtors reported that home resales posted a monthly increase of 3.6 percent in June.

There were 281,000 new homes for sale at the end of June, down more than 4 percent from May. At the current sales pace, that represents 8.8 months of supply — the lowest level since October 2007.

Fallout from the housing crisis has played a central role in the U.S. recession, now the longest since World War II. Foreclosures have spiked, homebuilders have slashed construction, and financial companies have lost billions.

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Copyright © 2009 The Associated Press, Alan Zibel, AP real estate writer.

Foreclosures drove up 2008 U.S. home sales

Miami Real Estate – Foreclosures drove U.S. home sales up 7 percent in 2008 after a 40 percent plunge the prior year, with eligible buyers lured by deep discounts and low loan rates, according to real estate data company Radar Logic.

So-called “motivated sales,” or foreclosed houses sold at auctions or by financial institutions, surged 177 percent last year while all other sales in the 25 metro areas tracked by Radar Logic fell by 17 percent.

“The market seems to have migrated to the point where motivated sales have become a far more constant part of the housing sales market,” Michael Feder, chief executive of Radar Logic, told Reuters.

These distressed transactions represented as much as a third of all activity last year, he said.

The housing market has swooned from 2006 record highs, glutted with unsold homes, including foreclosed properties and empty new construction.

“Buyers recognize that those are at significant discounts versus what all other people are asking for homes and are migrating to those first,” Feder said. Ultimately, that could be a positive for housing, suggesting there is a price point that has been reached that is attracting buyers, he added.

Prices sank in all 25 metro areas, pushing the Radar Logic composite index down 22 percent for the year.

The biggest sales gains were in areas with the largest annual price declines: California, Nevada, Arizona and Florida.

In California, motivated sales accounted for 47 percent of total sales in December, up from 23 percent a year earlier, based on Radar Logic data.

Falling mortgage rates bolstered sales, with Freddie Mac’s 5.1 percent average 30-year rate in December the lowest since the home funding company started keeping records in 1971.

Lower mortgage rates curb monthly payments, but do little to help potential owners come up with the increasingly large down payments that lenders require, Feder noted.

There is reason for optimism that President Barack Obama’s $275 billion home stability program will kick-start the worst housing market downturn since the Great Depression, though a dearth of specific details makes it unlikely a turnaround will be swift, Feder said.

The program aims to reduce foreclosures and press mortgage rates down.

In the latest sign of housing sickness, pending sales of existing homes slid sharply in January as the recession deterred buyers, based on a National Association of Realtors index that fell to a record low. The measure, based on contracts signed in January, tumbled 7.7 percent to 80.4, the lowest since the trade group started the series in 2001.

Feder contends that three major problems still darken the picture: the oversupply of unsold homes, restrictive access to mortgage credit and reticence of non-distressed home sellers to slash their asking prices.

“We get a turnaround in all three of those and I think we’ll have a housing recovery,” he said.

Access to mortgage money remains limited, with lenders battered by record foreclosures stemming from years of looser lending practices.

“We hear anecdotally that there are a lot of deals that are cut, but then buyers can’t get mortgages for more than 60 percent of the purchase prices, even though it’s at this ‘motivated’ price level,” Feder said.

“The mortgage money simply isn’t providing the capital necessary,” he added. “If the stimulus package begins to help make mortgage money available at numbers more like 80 to 85 percent loan to value, that’s going top help a lot.”

House prices are unlikely to rise before the supply imbalance improves.

To get that, “We’re going to need to have some balance between the absorption of motivated sales and a capitulation by non-motivated sellers to the new price levels,” Feder said.

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The Impact of Foreclosures on FICO Scores

The Impact of Foreclosures on FICO Scores

The Mortgage Banker Association recently estimated that 1 out of every 200 homes in the US will be foreclosed upon. With the increased number of foreclosures, come many questions about their impact on the FICO score.

There is no denying that a foreclosure is considered a very negative event by the FICO score. Many people believe that it is impossible to rebuild credit after such an event. However, if all other credit obligations remain in good standing, it is possible the FICO score could rebound in just 2 years. Just like any other negative item on the credit report, as time passes, the impact on the credit score will lessen.

Recently, several alternatives to foreclosures have become popular. Some of these include “short sales” and “deed-in-lieu of foreclosure”. It is important to know that as far as the FICO score is concerned, there is no difference between foreclosures and these other options. Each is considered and an account that was “not paid as agreed” will have the same negative impact on the score. However, the account status reported is ultimately the decision of the creditor.

It is important to remember that even though both foreclosure and bankruptcy are considered very negative items by the FICO score, a foreclosure can be isolated to a single account. Often bankruptcies involve multiple accounts that are classified as “not paid as agreed”, so the negative impact can be farther reaching. In most cases, it takes much longer to rebuild credit after a bankruptcy.

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