Thursday, January 21, 2010

Homebuilding forecast: Modest growth in 2010

Ft. Lauderdale Real Estate - Dean Isenberg Realtor

Miami – Jan. 20, 2010 – The fragile housing recovery should gather momentum this year as the economy strengthens, but high unemployment at least through 2011 will make for a slow turnaround, housing experts said Tuesday.

The panel of economists at the International Builders’ Show in Las Vegas agreed broadly on the outlook for the housing market and economy. Both, they said, had turned a corner, but there are slim prospects for a swift rebound.

“It won’t be a strong recovery, but it will be a recovery,” said David Crowe, chief economist for the National Association of Home Builders.

His forecast calls for sales of new and previously occupied homes to weaken after tax credits for homebuyers expire in April. But 2010 sales of new homes will be up by more than one-third, he said, and almost 7 percent higher for resales.

Crowe also sees home prices remaining stable going forward, though some cities may still see some slight declines in the coming months.

“I believe we’ve seen the worst of the house price declines ... The stage is set for the consumer to return,” Crowe said.

He expects builders to ramp up construction this year, with newly built homes totaling around 700,000. That would be a 25 percent increase over his tally for 2009. While he anticipates the economy will add some jobs in the April-June period, he projects unemployment will peak this year at 10.2 percent and then fall gradually to around 8 percent by the end of next year.

But homebuilders’ fortunes have brightened in recent months. Low interest rates and an $8,000 tax credit for first-time home buyers helped stoke demand for homes. The incentive was scheduled to expire at the end of November, but Congress extended the deadline through April and added a $6,500 tax credit for current homeowners who move.

Still, recent figures have raised doubts about how strong demand will be in the coming months.

New homes sales tumbled 11 percent in November from October to the lowest level since last spring. The number of people preparing to buy a home in November also dropped.

That’s left many homebuilders nervous that demand is weakening. Homebuilders’ confidence, measured by an NAHB’s index, fell this month to 15. It was the second-straight monthly decline and the lowest level since June.

The index reflects a survey of 504 residential developers nationwide. Index readings below 50 indicate negative sentiment about the market.

David Berson, chief economist for mortgage insurer PMI Group, said he expects mortgage delinquencies and foreclosures to climb this year. But he anticipates that banks and other mortgage companies will continue to hold properties on their books, rather than dumping them on the market at depressed prices.

“That does mean it will be longer before we start to get a real recovery in home prices,” Berson said. “By the time we get to 2011, the majority of the states should have price gains.”

He projects home prices fell almost 13 percent in 2009 from the prior year. His forecast calls for home prices to decline about 5 percent early this year, but end the year flat.

Freddie Mac Chief Economist Frank Nothaft, meanwhile, said he sees home prices to decline 3 percent this year. His forecast calls for mortgage rates to remain below 6 percent this year.

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Tuesday, January 19, 2010

Only 8,405 in Fla. get mortgage modification.

South Florida Real Estate - Foreclosure Information - 305-929-3326

TALLAHASSEE, Fla. – Jan. 18, 2010 – Fewer than 3,000 South Floridians have a permanent loan modification under President Obama’s nearly year-old program to stem home foreclosures.

In the Treasure Coast, just 111 troubled borrowers have seen permanent relief from the $75 billion plan announced in February.

The dismal performance of the program marketed as a helping hand for the nation’s more than 3.3 million delinquent home loans was released Friday in a Treasury Department progress report.

Throughout Florida, which by every measure is one of the states hardest hit by the real estate crash, there are 8,405 permanent modifications. In Palm Beach, Broward and Miami-Dade counties combined there are 2,987 permanent modifications.

Another 96,703 Florida loans are on trial modifications.

The Making Homes Affordable program gives incentives to banks to modify loans in three basic ways; reducing interest rates to as low as 2 percent, increasing the life of the loan, and reducing the principal owed on the loan.

“You keep hearing about this wonderful program the government is doing but it’s not working,” said Joel Bienvenu, who owns a home west of Boca Raton and has been trying to get a loan modification through Wells Fargo since August. “I keep getting excuses that they are just overwhelmed.”

Nationwide, 66,465 permanent modifications have been approved, less than 2 percent of the total loans that are 60 or more days delinquent. Another 46,056 permanent modifications have been approved by the lender, but not yet by the borrower.

The median monthly decrease to mortgages that received permanent modifications was $516, according to the Treasury Department.

From the beginning of the program, homeowners have complained about having to send lenders the same paperwork multiple times, while banks say borrowers provide the wrong documents or fail to meet the requirements for the permanent modification.

Anthony DiMarco, executive vice president of government affairs for the Florida Bankers Association, said Friday that lenders have been on a learning curve, but are improving.

“I think the industry is working hard,” he said. “You can’t ramp up a program like this overnight.”

Fort Lauderdale real estate attorney and foreclosure mediator Shari Olefson said the more than 1.1 million trial modifications offered to borrowers nationwide shows lenders are making an effort.

The fact that just 66,465 have become permanent points to a fundamental problem with the program, she said.

“The program itself is a failure,” said Olefson, author of Foreclosure Nation, Mortgaging the American Dream. “It’s trying to put a square peg in a round hole.”

To qualify for a modification, a person’s monthly housing expenses must be more than 31 percent of gross monthly income. But you also must prove that you can pay for the modification.

Olefson believes high unemployment and a steep loss in housing equity is keeping the plan from working.

“The whole program was crafted before we correctly identified the problem,” she said.

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Sunday, November 15, 2009

Buying a Home in Time to Get Credit - Miami Real Estate 800-819-5466

Miami Florida Real Estate Agent - Dean Isenberg - 800-819-5466

House hunting usually slows down this time of year, as people put their searches on hold during the holidays.

This winter could be different, however, thanks to the extension -- and expansion -- of the first-time home-buyer tax credit.

"We're going to see far more interest in the fourth quarter than we generally do because of the tax credit," says Heather Fernandez, vice president of Trulia.com, a real-estate search engine. Traffic surged on the site on Nov. 5, the day Congress approved the credit extension, she says.

The new law extends the tax credit for first-time home buyers and opens it up to some existing homeowners as well: The credit is now up to $8,000 for first-time buyers and up to $6,500 for repeat buyers.

All buyers must have a binding contract on a house in place on or before April 30. The purchase must be for a principal residence and must close on or before June 30.

To be considered a first-time home buyer, an individual must not have owned a home in the past three years. And to be eligible, existing homeowners need to have lived in the same principal residence for five consecutive years during the eight-year period that ends when the new home is purchased.

Income limits have risen as well. According to the Internal Revenue Service's Web site, www.irs.gov, the home-buyer tax credit phases out for individuals with modified adjusted gross incomes between $125,000 and $145,000, and between $225,000 and $245,000 for people filing joint returns.

The inclusion of move-up buyers might inspire homeowners to take action and list their house if they've been putting it off, says Carolyn Warren, a Seattle mortgage broker.

"If people love their home, it's not going to entice them to sell," Ms. Warren says. "If they've had it in the back of their minds and really would like to move up, it might push them into doing it sooner than later."

If you're thinking of purchasing a home, here are five tips:

Don't procrastinate
Start your house search now. Getting an early start will give you a better chance of finding the right house before the credit deadline.

When first-time buyers thought that the credit would expire Nov. 30, people scrambled to find properties in September and October, says Pat Lashinsky, chief executive of ZipRealty, a residential real-estate brokerage firm. In some cases, "there wasn't inventory that fit people's needs," he says. In some markets, including Phoenix, Chicago and parts of California, for example, properties had multiple bidders, Mr. Lashinsky adds.

Before you start house hunting, get preapproved for a mortgage, says Eddie Fadel, a Miami-based mortgage banker. And do a realistic assessment of what you can afford.

Buyers who have to sell an existing home should price it aggressively from the beginning to drum up interest and get a buyer as soon as possible, Ms. Fernandez says.

Don't count on another extension
The credit won't be available forever, Mr. Fadel says.

"This is a medication for the housing crisis," he says, "Once the patient -- which is the housing market -- is cured, there will be no medication needed."

Be mindful of interest rates
Interest rates are low right now, but will likely rise next year, Ms. Warren says. Higher rates will affect your monthly mortgage payments, thus the affordability of the house you are buying.

"It's pretty universally accepted that rates will be higher next year," she says. "What is unknown is how fast and by how much."

Average rates on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages have been hovering around 5%. But when the Federal Reserve stops buying large amounts of mortgage-backed securities next year, interest rates could rise, Ms. Warren points out. The Fed plans to end its purchase program in March.

Communicate with your lender
Make sure you're speaking with your lender regularly to avoid any delays. If the lender asks for any additional documentation, turn it in as soon as possible, says Doug Heddings, a New York-based real-estate agent with Charles Rutenberg Realty.

And think twice before pursuing a short sale. That's where someone sells a home for less than what he or she owes on a mortgage, with permission of the lender. The process can be lengthy and unpredictable because the homeowner's lender has to approve any deal, Ms. Warren says, and it can get complicated when there is a second mortgage associated with the property.

Don't take shortcuts
Don't forgo any of the steps you would normally take just to make the tax-credit deadline. That means making sure the house is a good fit and is in the right location and getting a home inspection, Mr. Lashinsky says. Skipping steps could cost you in the long run.

"Don't let the tax credit get you to make a decision to buy a house that you wouldn't otherwise want to buy," he says. "Don't shortcut the process to get the tax credit."

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Thursday, November 05, 2009

Fed again pledges to hold rates at record-lows. Great for Real Estate

Sunny Isles Beach Real Estate

The Federal Reserve pledged Wednesday to keep a key interest rate at a record low for an “extended period,” signaling that the weak economy remains dependent on government help to grow.

The Fed said economic activity has “continued to pick up” and that the housing market has strengthened – a key ingredient for a sustained recovery.

But Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and his colleagues warned that rising joblessness and tight credit for many people and companies could restrain the rebound in the months ahead.

“Economic activity is likely to remain weak for a time,” they said.

Against that backdrop, the Fed kept the target range for its bank lending rate at zero to 0.25 percent. And it made no major changes to a program to help drive down mortgage rates.

Commercial banks’ prime lending rate, used to peg rates on home equity loans, certain credit cards and other consumer loans, will remain about 3.25 percent, the lowest in decades.

Still, some credit card rates have risen over the past several months. In part, that reflects rate increases by lenders in response to escalating defaults on credit card loans. Lenders also pushed through increases before a new law clamping down on sudden rate hikes for credit card customers takes effect early next year.

On Capitol Hill, the House voted Wednesday to accelerate the enactment date of the new rules to protect consumers from many such surprise changes. Credit card companies would have to comply immediately, rather than starting in February, unless they agreed to freeze interest rates and fees. But the proposal’s chances in the Senate are considered dim.

The average rate nationwide on a variable-rate credit card is 11.5 percent, according to Bankrate.com. Lenders charge more and credit card customers pay rates higher than the prime because the debt they run up is riskier.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones industrial average at first held onto an increase of more than 100 points after the Fed’s announcement. But stocks eventually gave up most of their gains in a late-day slump. It wasn’t clear how much of a role the Fed’s statement played. Some analysts noted that investors are nervous as the release of the government’s October jobs report on Friday approaches.

In normal times, the Fed controls only short-term rates. But after the financial crisis erupted, the Fed began buying longer-term Treasuries. Its purchases kept those rates lower than they’d otherwise be.

This is good news for borrowers with auto loans, some student loans, 15- and 30-year fixed-rate mortgages and some adjustable-rate mortgages. But it hurts savers and people dependent on fixed incomes who would normally be enjoying higher yields.

On Wednesday, the Fed stuck with its pledge to keep rates at “exceptionally low” levels for “an extended period.” Most analysts don’t think the Fed would begin to boost rates until next spring or summer.

Fed policymakers “believe they need to keep rates low to ensure that the recovery doesn’t falter,” said Joel Naroff of Naroff Economic Advisors.

The central bank hopes low rates will encourage consumers and businesses to boost spending, which would invigorate the recovery. The Fed signaled that it can continue to hold rates low because inflation is all but nonexistent.

The Fed has now entered a new phase: Managing the recovery rather than fighting the worst recession and financial crisis to hit the country since the Great Depression.

The economy began growing again last quarter for the first time in more than a year. But much of that growth came from government-supported spending on homes and cars. The strength and staying power of the recovery are uncertain, especially once government supports are removed.

In such a fragile recovery, a rate increase by the Fed is unlikely anytime soon, said Chris Rupkey, an economist at the Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi.

“Growth does not mean a rate hike,” Rupkey said.

As with past rebounds, the budding recovery won’t likely stop the unemployment rate from rising. The rate, now at a 26-year high of 9.8 percent, is expected to hit 9.9 percent on Friday, when the government releases the unemployment report for October. The jobless rate could rise as high as 10.5 percent around the middle of next year before declining, analysts said.

At some point, once the recovery is firmly rooted, the Fed is likely to start signaling that higher rates are coming. One hint of an eventual rate hike would be the Fed’s changing or dropping its pledge to hold rates at record-low levels for an “extended period.”

It’s a delicate task. Boosting rates and removing supports too soon could short-circuit the recovery. On the other hand, holding rates low and keeping government supports intact too long could unleash inflation.

Though it didn’t change a program to help drive down mortgage rates, the Fed did say it will trim its purchases of debt from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to $175 billion, from $200 billion, because the supply of that debt has declined.

At its previous meeting in late September, the Fed agreed to slow the pace of a $1.25 trillion program to buy mortgage securities from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. It decided to wrap up the purchases by the end of March instead of at year-end. So far, the Fed has bought $776 billion of the mortgage securities.

Its efforts to lower mortgage rates are paying off. Rates on 30-year loans averaged 5.03 percent, Freddie Mac reported last week. That’s down from 6.46 percent last year.

Though the Fed will slow its purchases of mortgage securities, rates for home loans should remain low – in the 5 percent range – as long as the purchases continue, analysts say.

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Wednesday, November 04, 2009

Aventura Real Estate - Feds: More than 100 arrested for mortgage fraud.

South Florida Real Estate-

A federal prosecutor says a crackdown on organized mortgage fraud this year has yielded 105 arrests from Jacksonville to Fort Myers.

A. Brian Albritton, the U.S. attorney for Florida’s middle district, announced the results of the nine-month investigation at news conferences Tuesday in Fort Myers and Tampa.

Albritton said the fraudulent loans totaled more than $400 million and involved more than 700 properties.

Defendants include mortgage brokers, real estate agents, lenders, sellers and buyers. Albritton called the problem an “epidemic.”

Florida’s middle district includes a swath that extends from Jacksonville to Fort Myers and includes the Orlando and Tampa areas.

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Sunday, November 01, 2009

Outlook for 2009 Miami Real Estate: It’s a buyer’s market !

Miami Real Estate - Now's the time to buy.

What’s the outlook for 2009? Florida Realtors® agree that it’s a buyer’s market! With lower prices and strong pent-up demand, Florida homes are highly attractive – especially to first-time and move-up buyers. Meanwhile, vacation residences continue to be warm-weather bargains to U.S. and international buyers.

Outlook for 2009: It’s a buyer’s market!
“We expect first-time homebuyers will be the largest segment next year,” says Ed Forman, president Watson Realty Corp., Jacksonville. “That includes a high percentage of single women buying their first property.”

The same pricing dynamics benefit working-age families in their 30s and 40s who may be moving into a starter home or looking for a move-up with more space for children, according to Mike Pappas, president and CEO, The Keyes Company, Miami. “For these buyers in particular, lower pricing is making Florida homes very attractive,” he says.

In many Florida markets, affluent buyers are picking up luxury properties as primary residences or second-homes – a trend likely to continue. “The high end of the Florida market has held up quite well,” says Brad Hunter, director, South Florida region, MetroStudy in Boca Raton.

International buyers remain an important component of the state’s market, especially in coastal areas like Miami, Fort Lauderdale, Naples and Sarasota, as well as Orlando/Kissimmee. Florida Association of Realtors research studies show buyers from Canada, United Kingdom, Mexico, South America and Europe generate more than 15 percent of residential transactions.

On the other hand, the traditional flow of retiree buyers to Florida remains uncertain in the year ahead. Slower economic conditions in the Northeast and Midwest – two prime feeder markets for Florida – may make it harder for retirees with modest incomes to make the big move to Florida. Many retirees are also faced with less purchasing power due to declines in their investment portfolio and may opt to stay put. However, the number of Baby Boomers reaching age 65 continues to increase and many of these prospective buyers will be considering Florida when the nation’s economic condition improves.

Market watch perspectives
If the opportunities for great value and investment potential are presented, will buyers hop the fence and buy? Experts weigh in.

Use these Web sites to get local stats and build your own market watch for prospective buyers and sellers.

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Saturday, October 31, 2009

Feds: Chinese drywall reports still inconclusive. Miami Real Estate

Got Miami ? Miami Real Estate Services

WEST PALM BEACH, Florida – Federal studies released Thursday cannot yet definitively link imported Chinese drywall to health problems or corrosion of pipes and wires that thousands of U.S. homeowners have been reporting for nearly a year.

The Consumer Product Safety Commission, which is leading the multi-agency investigation, said it needs to further study the matter before it can consider a recall, ban or other solutions to help affected homeowners. Additional results from ongoing studies were due to be released next month.

“The expansive investigation and scientific work that has been done and continues to be carried out is all aimed at providing answers and solutions,” Lori Saltzman, a director in the CPSC’s Office of Hazard Identification and Reduction, said Thursday. “No connections have been made yet.”

Saltzman said the agency, which has so far spent $3.5 million on the studies, has received nearly 1,900 homeowner complaints during one of its largest consumer product investigations in U.S. history.

“We understand this problem has literally driven people from their homes,” she said.

Homeowners, however, were frustrated by a lack of answers.

“So many of us have been really waiting on these results released today to offer us encouragement, but in fact, we’re quite disappointed,” said Holly Krulik, of Parkland, Florida, about 45 miles north of Miami.

Krulik and her husband, Doug, along with their two young children, moved in with her parents about six months ago because she says the Chinese wallboard in their home was making them sick and ruining the house.

“We’re hanging on by a thread here. When is help going to arrive?” said Krulik, who will soon join hundreds of others who have filed lawsuits.

Thousands of homeowners like the Kruliks who bought new houses built with the potentially defective materials are finding their lives in limbo as the lawsuits against builders, contractors, suppliers and manufacturers wind through the courts.

During the height of the U.S. housing boom, with building materials in short supply, American construction companies imported millions of pounds (kilograms) of Chinese-made drywall because it was abundant and cheap. An Associated Press analysis of shipping records found that more than 500 million pounds (226 million kilograms) of Chinese gypsum board was imported between 2004 and 2008 – enough to have built tens of thousands of homes.

They are heavily concentrated in the Southeast, especially Florida and areas of Louisiana and Mississippi hit hard by Hurricane Katrina.

The defective materials have since been found by state and federal agencies to emit “volatile sulfur compounds.” Officials have also found traces of strontium sulfide, which can produce a rotten-egg odor, along with organic compounds not found in American-made drywall. Homeowners complain the fumes are corroding copper pipes, destroying TVs and air conditioners, blackening jewelry and silverware, and making them sick.

And some homeowners are reporting that their insurance companies are dropping or refusing to renew their policies based on the presence of the wallboard in their houses, putting them at risk of foreclosure.

The federal test results released Thursday largely confirmed what prior testing had found. The multiple agencies investigating, including the CPSC, the Environmental Protection Agency and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, acknowledged the reported health symptoms are consistent with some sort of contamination. But the culprit is unclear.

The Chinese government is assisting with the investigation.

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Thursday, August 13, 2009

Florida’s existing home, condo sales up in 2Q 2009

MIAMI, Florida – Sales of existing single-family homes in Florida rose 23 percent in second quarter 2009 compared to the same period a year earlier, according to the latest housing statistics from the Florida Association of Realtors® (FAR). A total of 43,125 existing homes sold statewide in 2Q 2009; during the same period the year before, a total of 35,008 existing homes sold. It marks the fourth consecutive quarter that Florida has seen higher existing year-to-year home sales, according to FAR.

Sales of existing condominiums statewide in the second quarter rose 29 percent compared to the same time the previous year. This marks the third consecutive quarter for increased statewide sales in both the existing home and condo markets compared to year-ago levels.

Statewide sales activity in 2Q 2009 also increased over 1Q 2009’s sales figure in both the existing home and existing condo markets, FAR records show. For 2Q 2009, statewide sales of existing homes rose 37.2 percent over the 1Q 2009 figure; existing condo sales statewide in 2Q 2009 increased 45.3 percent over the 1Q 2009 level.

“In spite of the challenges with the economy, most people – 83 percent – still believe that buying a home is a good financial decision, according to a recent survey from the National Association of Realtors® (NAR),” says 2009 FAR President Cynthia Shelton, CCIM, CRE, a broker and director of investment sales with Colliers Arnold in Orlando. (CCIM stands for Certified Commercial Investment Member and CRE is the Counselor of Real Estate designation). “Many homebuyers are realizing that this is the time to buy – with a good selection of housing inventory, affordable pricing and low mortgage rates.

“In fact, three-fourths of those responding to the 2009 National Housing Pulse Survey said they think now is a good time to purchase a home, a number that has increased steadily the past two years,” she says. “However, providing solid financing options for homebuyers is key to returning stability to the housing market, and buyers also need programs that help with downpayment and closing costs. That’s why the federal $8,000 first-time homebuyer tax credit and other programs enabling eligible buyers to access that tax credit for downpayment or closing costs are so important – programs like the Florida Homebuyer Opportunity Program.”

MIAMI, Florida

Sixteen of Florida’s metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) reported increased sales of existing homes in the second quarter compared to the same three-month period a year earlier, while 12 MSAs showed gains in condo sales.

The statewide existing-home median sales price was $143,600 in the second quarter; a year earlier, it was $203,200 for a decrease of 29 percent. The 2Q 2009 statewide existing-home median sales price was 1.8 percent higher than 1Q’s statewide existing-home median sales price of $141,000. According to industry analysts with the National Association of Realtors® (NAR), sales of foreclosures and other distressed properties continue to downwardly distort the median price because they generally sell at a discount relative to traditional homes. The median is a typical market price where half the homes sold for more, half for less.

In the year-to-year quarterly comparison for condo sales, 14,742 units sold statewide for the quarter compared to 11,459 in 2Q 2008 for a 29 percent increase. The statewide existing-condo median sales price was $111,100 for the three-month period; in 2Q 2008, it was $179,800 for a decrease of 38 percent. The 2Q 2009 statewide existing-condo median sales price was almost 1 percent higher 1Q’s statewide existing-condo median sales price of $110,100.

Continuing low mortgage rates remain another favorable influence on the housing sector. According to Freddie Mac, the national commitment rate for a 30-year conventional fixed-rate mortgage averaged 5.03 percent in 2Q 2009; one year earlier, it averaged 6.09 percent.

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Monday, July 27, 2009

June new home sales rise 11 percent Miami Real Estate 800-819-5466

Miami Florida Real Estate

WASHINGTON (AP) – New U.S. home sales rose by the largest amount in more than eight years last month, in another sign the housing market is finally bouncing back from the worst downturn in decades.

The Commerce Department said Monday that sales rose 11 percent in June to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 384,000, from an upwardly revised May rate of 346,000.

It was the strongest sales pace since November 2008 and exceeded the forecasts of economists surveyed by Thomson Reuters, who expected a pace of 360,000 units. The last time sales rose so dramatically was in December 2000.

Sales have risen for three straight months. The median sales price of $206,200, however, was down 12 percent from $234,300 a year earlier and down nearly 6 percent from $219,000 in May.

The report is another encouraging sign that the beleaguered housing sector is finally coming back to life. Last Thursday, the National Association of Realtors reported that home resales posted a monthly increase of 3.6 percent in June.

There were 281,000 new homes for sale at the end of June, down more than 4 percent from May. At the current sales pace, that represents 8.8 months of supply — the lowest level since October 2007.

Fallout from the housing crisis has played a central role in the U.S. recession, now the longest since World War II. Foreclosures have spiked, homebuilders have slashed construction, and financial companies have lost billions.

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Copyright © 2009 The Associated Press, Alan Zibel, AP real estate writer.

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Thursday, March 05, 2009

Foreclosures drove up 2008 U.S. home sales

Miami Real Estate – Foreclosures drove U.S. home sales up 7 percent in 2008 after a 40 percent plunge the prior year, with eligible buyers lured by deep discounts and low loan rates, according to real estate data company Radar Logic.

So-called “motivated sales,” or foreclosed houses sold at auctions or by financial institutions, surged 177 percent last year while all other sales in the 25 metro areas tracked by Radar Logic fell by 17 percent.

“The market seems to have migrated to the point where motivated sales have become a far more constant part of the housing sales market,” Michael Feder, chief executive of Radar Logic, told Reuters.

These distressed transactions represented as much as a third of all activity last year, he said.

The housing market has swooned from 2006 record highs, glutted with unsold homes, including foreclosed properties and empty new construction.

“Buyers recognize that those are at significant discounts versus what all other people are asking for homes and are migrating to those first,” Feder said. Ultimately, that could be a positive for housing, suggesting there is a price point that has been reached that is attracting buyers, he added.

Prices sank in all 25 metro areas, pushing the Radar Logic composite index down 22 percent for the year.

The biggest sales gains were in areas with the largest annual price declines: California, Nevada, Arizona and Florida.

In California, motivated sales accounted for 47 percent of total sales in December, up from 23 percent a year earlier, based on Radar Logic data.

Falling mortgage rates bolstered sales, with Freddie Mac’s 5.1 percent average 30-year rate in December the lowest since the home funding company started keeping records in 1971.

Lower mortgage rates curb monthly payments, but do little to help potential owners come up with the increasingly large down payments that lenders require, Feder noted.

There is reason for optimism that President Barack Obama’s $275 billion home stability program will kick-start the worst housing market downturn since the Great Depression, though a dearth of specific details makes it unlikely a turnaround will be swift, Feder said.

The program aims to reduce foreclosures and press mortgage rates down.

In the latest sign of housing sickness, pending sales of existing homes slid sharply in January as the recession deterred buyers, based on a National Association of Realtors index that fell to a record low. The measure, based on contracts signed in January, tumbled 7.7 percent to 80.4, the lowest since the trade group started the series in 2001.

Feder contends that three major problems still darken the picture: the oversupply of unsold homes, restrictive access to mortgage credit and reticence of non-distressed home sellers to slash their asking prices.

“We get a turnaround in all three of those and I think we’ll have a housing recovery,” he said.

Access to mortgage money remains limited, with lenders battered by record foreclosures stemming from years of looser lending practices.

“We hear anecdotally that there are a lot of deals that are cut, but then buyers can’t get mortgages for more than 60 percent of the purchase prices, even though it’s at this ‘motivated’ price level,” Feder said.

“The mortgage money simply isn’t providing the capital necessary,” he added. “If the stimulus package begins to help make mortgage money available at numbers more like 80 to 85 percent loan to value, that’s going top help a lot.”

House prices are unlikely to rise before the supply imbalance improves.

To get that, “We’re going to need to have some balance between the absorption of motivated sales and a capitulation by non-motivated sellers to the new price levels,” Feder said.

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Wednesday, February 25, 2009

The Impact of Foreclosures on FICO Scores

The Impact of Foreclosures on FICO Scores

The Mortgage Banker Association recently estimated that 1 out of every 200 homes in the US will be foreclosed upon. With the increased number of foreclosures, come many questions about their impact on the FICO score.

There is no denying that a foreclosure is considered a very negative event by the FICO score. Many people believe that it is impossible to rebuild credit after such an event. However, if all other credit obligations remain in good standing, it is possible the FICO score could rebound in just 2 years. Just like any other negative item on the credit report, as time passes, the impact on the credit score will lessen.

Recently, several alternatives to foreclosures have become popular. Some of these include “short sales” and “deed-in-lieu of foreclosure”. It is important to know that as far as the FICO score is concerned, there is no difference between foreclosures and these other options. Each is considered and an account that was “not paid as agreed” will have the same negative impact on the score. However, the account status reported is ultimately the decision of the creditor.

It is important to remember that even though both foreclosure and bankruptcy are considered very negative items by the FICO score, a foreclosure can be isolated to a single account. Often bankruptcies involve multiple accounts that are classified as “not paid as agreed”, so the negative impact can be farther reaching. In most cases, it takes much longer to rebuild credit after a bankruptcy.

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Tuesday, February 10, 2009

Fannie Mae allows investors to mortgage more properties.

Miami Florida Real Estate

Fannie Mae modified a policy that allowed real estate investors to have only four financed properties. The number can now be five to 10, depending on whether certain eligibility, underwriting and delivery requirements are met. Florida Association of Realtors® (FAR) President Cynthia Shelton raised the investment issue with Fannie Mae officials last week.

“Many of our members have voiced concerns about Fannie Mae limiting investors to four properties,” says FAR Vice President of Public Policy John Sebree. “This comes as good news.”

The change is noted in a just-released update of Fannie Mae’s “Multiple Mortgages to the Same Borrower Policy.” The change is effective March 1. To qualify, borrowers must meet Fannie Mae’s criteria. They cannot, for example, have a history of recent bankruptcy, or a delinquency payment over the past 12 months.

Fannie Mae offers more information about its new policy in Announcement 09-02, released on Friday. To download the policy guidance (PDF format) and get more information on qualifying and underwriting, go to: https://www.efanniemae.com/sf/guides/ssg/annltrs/pdf/2009/0902.pdf

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When will Miami Real Estate prices bottom out ?

Miami Real Estate Deals – Housing prices will hit bottom in the fourth quarter of 2009, predicts Moody’s Economy.com in a new report.

“Despite the darkening national economic outlook and the weak conditions in the housing market, some positive signs give hope that a bottom in the housing market is coming into view,” the report says.

On average, home prices will decline 36 percent from the peak in the first quarter of 2006, the report says.

By the end of the housing downturn, nearly 62 percent of the nation’s 381 metropolitan areas will have experienced double-digit-percent declines in house prices, peak-to-trough, says the report.

The declines will exceed 20 percent in about 100 metro areas, according to the report, and the recovery will be “lackluster.”

“A number of uncertainties in both the housing and economic outlooks remain, and the risks tilt to the downside,” says Moody’s Economy.com Chief Economist, Mark Zandi.

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Thursday, December 25, 2008

Parc Central Aventura Condo For Rent 305-936-2489 Dean Isenberg Aventura-Homes.Com



Aventura Parc Central For Rent.
2 Bedroom / 2 Bathroom
www.Aventura-Homes.Com
(305) 936-2489
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Wednesday, October 01, 2008

Mortgage crisis cuts both ways Aventura Homes

South Florida Real Estate Information

MIAMI – Oct. 1, 2008 – She was only 21 when she decided to become a mortgage broker. A newlywed, Michelle LaPiana felt that her own broker had misled her and her husband during the daunting purchase of their first home in Hialeah.

She claims she fell prey to a bait and switch. The closing costs were nearly double what the couple previously had been told. By the time they sat with a title agent to sign the loan documents, it was too late to walk away without losing thousands of dollars.

“The closing costs were $9,680,” recalled LaPiana, now 38 and divorced. “I remember everything. I even remember my closing agent’s name.”

The incident angered her but also motivated her to help other people navigate the potentially treacherous process. A graduate of Hialeah-Miami Lakes High, she skipped college, got her license and launched what was a rewarding and successful career in mortgage lending.

Now, 17 years later, the former president of the Miami chapter of the Florida Association of Mortgage Brokers and once-ambitious subprime account executive finds herself broke and in foreclosure.

The single mother of two insists her story is not one of the recklessness, greed or fraud that has plagued the mortgage business and sparked the credit crisis on Wall Street.

Instead, she says, she is part of the damage left behind by an investment frenzy and a wave of opportunists who hijacked her profession and ran it in into the ground in just a few short years.

“I feel I was a victim, but I feel government is not going to help people like me,” LaPiana said.

LaPiana says she cannot find work in South Florida because of a new stigma attached to having worked in the world of subprime lending. Reports of felons having flooded the business during the boom years have not helped.

“They look at me as if ‘because of her this is why the economy is the way it is,’” LaPiana said.

The stigma may be worse in South Florida – often described as ground zero for subprime loans, or high-cost loans extended to borrowers with poor credit. Mortgages requiring no proof of income or assets were also widely sold. The high default rate among these loans is blamed for sparking the credit crunch that began a little over a year ago. Lenders began restricting access to credit to prevent future losses, leading to an economic slowdown.

But LaPiana says her role was less direct because she never sold a home to a borrower who couldn’t afford it.

Brian Kettenring, a head organizer with Florida ACORN, the Association of Community Organizations for Reform Now, a national grass-roots community activist organization, agreed that many real estate professionals are being unfairly painted with the same brush.

“There was a fair amount of predatory lending by brokers and lenders, but there are a lot of good people who work in the industry and too many of them are being hurt in the destruction of the industry as a whole,” Kettenring said.

Wave of failures

The ripple effects of the credit crunch hit an apex in recent weeks with the failure of the venerable investment bank Lehman Brothers; the near-collapse of American International Group, the world’s largest insurance company, and Washington Mutual’s seizure by federal regulators and subsequent sale in the biggest bank failures in U.S. history.

LaPiana said nobody foresaw the impending catastrophe from their respective corners. She views herself as among the tiniest of conduits in the vast matrix of players wheeling and dealing in the era of cheap money that made the housing boom possible.

After more than a decade of selling traditional mortgages, LaPiana was swept up in the excitement of new, innovative loans that made homeownership possible for millions of Americans.

In 2001, she joined Fieldstone Mortgage’s subprime division as a wholesale account executive. She would hold the same position at a string of other wholesalers over the next six years, specializing in high-cost and highly profitably subprime mortgages.

Wholesale lenders deal with mortgage companies and brokers who make their cash available to home buyers by immediately funding their loans. They do not deal with borrowers. Once the loans are brokered, the wholesalers, typically thinly capitalized companies, sell the debt to commercial banks, other lenders or investment houses, like former brokerage Bear Stearns.

“Subprime loans were the hot commodity of Wall Street. That’s all everybody wanted,” LaPiana said.

As an account executive, her job was visiting brokers and selling the loan programs offered by her company. Wholesalers generally compensate account executives based on the volume of business they bring to the company. For each million dollars LaPiana sold, she earned a half percentage point, or $5,000. In the peak years of the boom, she says she did an average of five deals a day. Sometimes, her biweekly paychecks topped $20,000.

“I still have the pay stubs,” LaPiana said ruefully, adding she couldn’t toss them because she hopes to once again earn such a handsome income.

The high life

With her new wealth, LaPiana traveled – skiing in Colorado and visiting New York City. She bought a top-of-the-line Jeep Commander and, after her divorce, a “dream home” in Kendall where she would live comfortably with her two girls and mother.

“I didn’t go overboard,” LaPiana insisted, “I didn’t buy the two investment properties, the two condos on the beach, but I should have saved more.”

Even though she was making almost $200,000 a year, her competitors, who sold loans requiring no proof of income or assets, were making more. LaPiana said many of the loans she sold didn’t ask for proof, but did require a borrower to submit evidence that they had filed an income tax return with the IRS as self-employed.

Such loans have been dubbed “liar loans” in the industry because of the high rate of fraud later found in mortgage applications when the homes went into foreclosure.

It was enough to give her competitors an edge. While LaPiana was pounding the pavements making sales to mortgage companies, many of her competitors were able to do most of their business by phone from their homes, she said.

The subprime lenders they worked for were also among the first to bite the dust when borrowers began defaulting in droves in 2007, she said. Soon LaPiana was jumping from job to job as four successive employers declared bankruptcy or closed their subprime divisions between 2006 and 2007.

Peter Ticktin, a Deerfield Beach lawyer who practices foreclosure defense, said the self-deluded industry imploded because it believed property values would continue rising, eliminating the risk of losses. “What was going on was a systematic Ponzi scheme,” Ticktin said. “It wasn’t where you had one main character organizing it. It wasn’t a conspiracy.”

The final insult

LaPiana’s last position was with the CIT Group, based in New York, which told its account executives last September they were out of a job.

“That one really hurt because it was like, ‘Where do you go from here?’ I realized there was a major problem. It all went rolling down,” she said.

Almost as fast as the subprime industry itself, LaPiana’s life went into a tailspin. She went from making great money to collecting unemployment. Her savings were eaten up by an expensive adjustable-rate loan, a car payment and the cost of supporting a family of four.

Her problems mounted as she struggled to find a job. In July, she woke up one morning and found her Jeep Commander missing from the driveway. It had been repossessed. “I knew it was going to happen,” she said. LaPiana made her last mortgage payment in May. The lenders are hounding her out of her half-million-dollar dream. She’s had to borrow money from friends.

“When your daughters ask you for money to go to the movies and you tell them . . . I can’t. …” LaPiana started to cry. “I have no insurance. I make my daughters drink their vitamins in the morning because they know they can’t get sick. I teach them how not to get sick.”

How does she cope with the stress?

“I smoke and drink a lot of coffee. I don’t sleep,” she said, wiping tears away.

Kettenring, of ACORN, said his organization was accepting applications for foreclosure prevention counselors at their South Florida office, and most were coming from former brokers.

“It’s incredible the number of people who are applying for those positions that have worked in the industry for years,” Kettering said, “We’re seeing the near total collapse of the housing industry including the employment of people who worked in the industry.”

Despite the trials, LaPiana hasn’t given up.

Described by her friends as a self-starter and a fighter, she recently got a license to sell insurance and is trying to build a book of business.

She still stays involved with mortgage lending, keeping up with new regulations. Her brokers license remains valid.

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Wednesday, September 24, 2008

Vulture funds may lift real-estate market in South Florida 305-936-2489

South Florida Real Estate Information

Miami Real Estate Information

MIAMI – For about a year, so-called vulture funds have circled South Florida’s besieged real-estate market, waiting for enough carnage to force deep discounts on large blocks of unsold condominiums. Some think last week’s meltdown on Wall Street may herald the arrival of that moment.

As many as 100 investment funds are shopping for South Florida real estate, hoping to buy extremely low during the current crisis. Their main target: condominium towers where developers and their lenders can’t sell enough units to pay off the loans used to build them.

“The bottom fishers, if you will, have been standing around the sidelines,” said Victor Lopez, a former Hyatt development executive now assembling commercial deals. ‘A lot of people out there are saying: ‘This is our time to get in.’”

If he’s right, it would be one of the clearest signs yet that South Florida’s beleaguered real-estate market had bottomed, bringing the region closer to a recovery. If vulture investors are buying, the view goes, it’s safer for others to start buying as well.

The funds come to the table with cash, but also a catch: a demand that the developers and banks accept a deep discount, typically between 40 and 50 cents on the dollar.

Despite all the attention these funds receive in the media and in real-estate circles, only one or two significant bulk condo deals have actually closed, according to several people involved in the market.

“Literally, a day doesn’t go by that I don’t get a call from potential investors,” said Ramiro Ortiz, president of Coral Gables-based BankUnited Financial. “The problem is that the price is 50 cents on the dollar. I’ve got enough clarity to know that’s not what I want to do.”

Real-estate analyst Michael Cannon sees the fund industry overstating the crisis facing developers and their lenders. So far, he is seeing enough condo buyers closing on their units to let most developers pay off their construction loans as well as some of the secondary loans needed to build the projects.

“Nobody is panicking,” Cannon said. “It’s not there.”

But after concluding the most dangerous week for the U.S. financial system since the Great Depression, fund managers think they are left with more leverage.

“Two very large hedge funds called me yesterday. Literally, they’re flying into Miami,” said Gregory Rumpel, a hotel broker at Jones Lang LaSalle, the day after Lehman Brothers filed for bankruptcy. “These guys are saying, ‘Well, that’s probably the shock to the market – with Lehman and all the other jitters out there – we need to see some stuff released.’”

Vulture in lipstick

One senior lending executive at a major South Florida bank that wanted to keep anonymous said his staff so far has refused offers from the so-called vulture funds. But he predicts that resistance won’t last much longer.

“The market conditions don’t seem to be improving. At some point, you’ve got to cut and run,” said the executive, who spoke on the condition that his name not be published. “That vulture is starting to look a little bit like it has some lipstick on it.”

Some think Wall Street’s grim news will prove a wake-up call to the fund managers themselves, prompting them to decide that the debacle has climaxed and that it’s time to deal.

“When you talk to most of these vulture-type investors, they all say they want to buy when there’s blood on the streets,” said Peter Zalewski, a partner at Condo Vultures, which brokers sales of distressed condominium towers. “This is really the sign they’ve been looking for.”

Turning point

An actual turning point wouldn’t reveal itself for months as the complicated deals, involving dozens of condominiums, get finalized.

“We’ve been active in this market for almost two years now,” said Matthew Martinez, whose Coral Gables firm, Pangea Select, is helping funds shop for South Florida real estate. “We’ve made about 32 offers. And we’re closing on the first one as we speak.”

Fluctuating currency markets add to the urgency for many of the funds with investment dollars from overseas. “Israel’s here in a big way,” said Adam Greenberg, managing director of BayBridge Real Estate Group, which is representing about a dozen funds.

Peter Wells wants to spend about $600 million in investor dollars and borrowed money on Miami-area real estate, but so far, he can’t find a motivated seller. He’s a partner in Condo Capital Solutions, a Denver-based fund that is looking for bulk deals in Florida and Arizona.

“We’re starting to see a few deals that are starting to make sense,” he said. Banks “are now starting to get a little bit more realistic.”


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Wednesday, November 07, 2007

Uptown Marina Lofts Aventura Florida 800-819-5466

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Visit Aventura-Homes.Com For All Your Real Estate Needs.

Call Dean Isenberg Toll Free (800) 819-5466 For More Information.

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