Tuesday, February 23, 2010

South Florida Home Prices Decline Slowly

South Florida Real Estate

Miami, Florida – Data through December 2009, released today by Standard & Poor’s for its S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, show that the U.S. National Home Price Index fell in the fourth quarter of 2009, but it has improved in its annual rate of return compared to third quarter reports.

The S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index, which covers all nine U.S. census divisions, recorded a 2.5 percent decline in the fourth quarter of 2009 versus the fourth quarter of 2008. While down, it’s a significant improvement over the annual rates reported in the first, second and third quarters of the year, at -19.0 percent, -14.7 percent and -8.7 percent, respectively.

In December, the 10-City and 20-City Composites recorded annual declines of 2.4 percent and 3.1 percent, respectively. These two indices, which are reported monthly, have seen improvements in their annual rates of return every month since the beginning of the year.

“As measured by prices, the housing market is definitely in better shape than it was this time last year, as the pace of deterioration has stabilized for now. However, the rate of improvement seen during the summer of 2009 has not been sustained,” says David M. Blitzer, Chairman of the Index Committee at Standard & Poor’s.

“In the most recent months, we are seeing fewer and fewer MSAs reporting monthly gains in prices. Only four cities saw month-to-month improvements in December over November when you look at the raw data. We are in a seasonally slow period for home prices, however, so it is not surprising to see better statistics in the seasonally-adjusted data, where 14 of the markets and the two monthly composites all rose in December. Similarly, the National Composite fell by 1.1 percent in the fourth quarter, but rose by 1.6 percent on a seasonally-adjusted basis.”

As of the 4th quarter of 2009, average home prices across the United States are at similar levels to what they were in the summer of 2003. The 4th quarter values fell when compared to the 3rd quarter; however, the decline in the annual rate of return has significantly improved.

The 10-City and 20-City Composites continue to show improvement in their annual rates of return. In fact, all 20 metro areas and the two Composites saw improvement in their annual returns compared to November’s data. Only three cities – Detroit, Las Vegas and Tampa – still showed double digit annual rates of decline as of the end of 2009. Miami, Phoenix and Seattle all moved above such rates with December’s report.

Looking at the monthly statistics, 15 of the 20 metro areas showed a decline in December over November, with Chicago posting the sharpest decline, down 1.6 percent. Las Vegas finally posted its first positive print in more than three years, with +0.2 percent. The Southwest continues to be a bright spot, with San Diego posting its eighth consecutive monthly increase, and Los Angeles and Phoenix both posting their seventh. Three of the markets – Charlotte, Seattle and Tampa – posted new low index levels as measured by the past four years.

In other words, any gains they might have seen in recent months have been erased and December is now considered their current trough value, according to the data.

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Tuesday, January 26, 2010

Consumer Confidence Index climbs in Jan. Florida Real Estate

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Americans’ confidence in the economy improved modestly in January for the third straight month, as they begin to feel slightly better about business conditions and the job picture, according to a survey released Tuesday.

The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index increased to 55.9 – the highest in more than a year but still relatively gloomy. That compares with 53.6 in December.

January’s index was better than the expected 53.5 forecast by economists.

Economists watch confidence numbers closely because consumer spending accounts for about 70 percent of U.S. economic activity. It takes a reading of 90 to indicate an economy on solid footing and 100 or more to indicate growth.

The new figures still don’t point to an end to the nation’s economic woes any time soon.

“Consumers’ short-term outlook, while moderately more positive, does not suggest any significant pickup in activity in the coming months,” Lynn Franco, director of The Conference Board’s Consumer Research Center, said in a statement.

Tuesday’s figures are based on a survey of 5,000 households by the private research group.

Capital Economics analyst Paul Dales said Americans’ sentiments are well below the Index’s historic average of 95.

“In other words, despite the fact the economy probably grew at an annualized rate in excess of 5 percent in the fourth quarter, the labor market appears to be on the cusp of generating net employment gains, interest rates are at record lows and the rally in equities remains largely intact, confidence remains incredibly depressed,” Dales wrote in a research note. “This all suggests the legacy of the recession will live long in the mindset of consumers.”

While consumers were less dire about their income prospects, “(the number of) pessimists continues to outnumber the optimists,” Franco said.

Job security is a vital part of how Americans view the economy. Those who feel better about their jobs feel more comfortable spending money, which in turn fuels the nation’s economy. That means without a meaningful and steady increase in Americans’ faith that their paychecks will keep coming, and in turn a pickup in spending, there’s unlikely to be any strong revival in the economy.

“Without a sustained acceleration in consumption growth, the overall economic recovery is doomed to disappoint,” Dales wrote.

The unemployment rate held steady in December at 10 percent, down slightly from a 26-year high of 10.2 percent in October. Some analysts worry it will start climbing again in coming months, and could even rise as high as 10.5 percent next summer.

The Consumer Confidence index hit a historic low of 25.3 in February after registering 37.4 last January and enjoyed a three-month climb from March through May, fueled by signs that the economy might be stabilizing.

Since June, it has bounced along anemically between 47 and 55 as rising unemployment has taken a toll.

Also Tuesday, a report showed that The Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller home price index rose for in November – its sixth straight month of increases. And 14 of 20 metro areas posted improvements from the month before.

That index is now up 3.4 percent from its bottom in May, but still 30 percent below its peak in May 2006.

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Tuesday, January 19, 2010

Only 8,405 in Fla. get mortgage modification.

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TALLAHASSEE, Fla. – Jan. 18, 2010 – Fewer than 3,000 South Floridians have a permanent loan modification under President Obama’s nearly year-old program to stem home foreclosures.

In the Treasure Coast, just 111 troubled borrowers have seen permanent relief from the $75 billion plan announced in February.

The dismal performance of the program marketed as a helping hand for the nation’s more than 3.3 million delinquent home loans was released Friday in a Treasury Department progress report.

Throughout Florida, which by every measure is one of the states hardest hit by the real estate crash, there are 8,405 permanent modifications. In Palm Beach, Broward and Miami-Dade counties combined there are 2,987 permanent modifications.

Another 96,703 Florida loans are on trial modifications.

The Making Homes Affordable program gives incentives to banks to modify loans in three basic ways; reducing interest rates to as low as 2 percent, increasing the life of the loan, and reducing the principal owed on the loan.

“You keep hearing about this wonderful program the government is doing but it’s not working,” said Joel Bienvenu, who owns a home west of Boca Raton and has been trying to get a loan modification through Wells Fargo since August. “I keep getting excuses that they are just overwhelmed.”

Nationwide, 66,465 permanent modifications have been approved, less than 2 percent of the total loans that are 60 or more days delinquent. Another 46,056 permanent modifications have been approved by the lender, but not yet by the borrower.

The median monthly decrease to mortgages that received permanent modifications was $516, according to the Treasury Department.

From the beginning of the program, homeowners have complained about having to send lenders the same paperwork multiple times, while banks say borrowers provide the wrong documents or fail to meet the requirements for the permanent modification.

Anthony DiMarco, executive vice president of government affairs for the Florida Bankers Association, said Friday that lenders have been on a learning curve, but are improving.

“I think the industry is working hard,” he said. “You can’t ramp up a program like this overnight.”

Fort Lauderdale real estate attorney and foreclosure mediator Shari Olefson said the more than 1.1 million trial modifications offered to borrowers nationwide shows lenders are making an effort.

The fact that just 66,465 have become permanent points to a fundamental problem with the program, she said.

“The program itself is a failure,” said Olefson, author of Foreclosure Nation, Mortgaging the American Dream. “It’s trying to put a square peg in a round hole.”

To qualify for a modification, a person’s monthly housing expenses must be more than 31 percent of gross monthly income. But you also must prove that you can pay for the modification.

Olefson believes high unemployment and a steep loss in housing equity is keeping the plan from working.

“The whole program was crafted before we correctly identified the problem,” she said.

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Monday, January 18, 2010

HUD takes action to speed resale of foreclosed properties to new owners

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WASHINGTON – Jan. 18, 2010 – In an effort to stabilize home values and improve conditions in communities where foreclosure activity is high, HUD Secretary Shaun Donovan announced a temporary policy that will expand access to FHA mortgage insurance to allow for a quicker resale of foreclosed properties. The policy change will permit buyers to use FHA-insured financing to purchase HUD-owned properties, bank-owned properties or properties resold through private sales.

“As a result of the tightened credit market, FHA-insured mortgage financing is often the only means of financing available to potential homebuyers,” says Donovan. “FHA has an unprecedented opportunity to fulfill its mission by helping many homebuyers find affordable housing while contributing to neighborhood stabilization.”

With certain exceptions, FHA currently prohibits insuring a mortgage on a home owned by the seller for less than 90 days. This temporary waiver will give FHA borrowers access to a broader array of recently foreclosed properties.

“This change in policy is temporary and will have very strict conditions and guidelines to assure that predatory practices are not allowed,” Donovan says.

Acquiring, rehabilitating and reselling foreclosed properties to prospective homeowners often takes less than 90 days in today’s market; and FHA’s 90-day rule can adversely impact buyers if a seller is unwilling to hold a property 90 days thanks to holding costs and the risk of vandalism.

“FHA borrowers, because of the restrictions we are now lifting, have often been shut out from buying affordable properties,” says FHA Commissioner David H. Stevens. “This action will enable our borrowers, especially first-time buyers, to take advantage of this opportunity.”

The waiver will take effect on Feb. 1, 2010, and be effective for one year, unless otherwise extended or withdrawn by the FHA Commissioner. To protect FHA borrowers against predatory practices of “flipping,” the waiver is limited to those sales meeting the following general conditions:

• All transactions must be arms-length, with no identity of interest between the buyer and seller or other parties participating in the sales transaction.

• In cases in which the sales price of the property is 20 percent or more above the seller’s acquisition cost, the waiver will only apply if the lender meets specific conditions.

• The waiver is limited to forward mortgages, and does not apply to the Home Equity Conversion Mortgage (HECM) for purchase program.

• Specific conditions and other details of this new temporary policy are in the text of the waiver, available on HUD’s website:
http://www.hud.gov/offices/hsg/sfh/waivpropflip2010.pdf

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Tuesday, November 17, 2009

Forecast hopeful with first-time homebuyers leading the way. Miami Real Estate 800-819-5466

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Aided by the homebuyer tax credit, the outlook for housing and the economy appears headed for a sustainable recovery, according to the National Association of Realtors® (NAR).

“Given the success of the first-time buyer tax credit to date, and the need for qualified buyers to continue to absorb inventory that will include additional foreclosures over the coming year, we are hopeful about the impact of the expanded tax credit because it will stabilize home prices,” says Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist. “In fact, the credit is working better than first projected – it now looks like we’ll have 2.3 to 2.4 million first-time buyers this year.”

The 2009 National Association of Realtors Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers shows that first-time buyers accounted for a record 47 percent share of home sales over the past year, up from 41 percent in the 2008 survey. The share has risen steadily since a cyclical low of 36 percent in 2006.

Existing-home sales are expected to total 5.01 million in 2009, a gain of 2.0 percent over last year, and then are forecast to rise 13.6 percent to 5.69 million in 2010. “A steady draw-down of inventory will help home values to turn positive in 2010, but risks such as unemployment remain in the economy,” Yun says.

New-home sales are projected at 397,000 this year, recovering to 549,000 in 2010. Housing starts, including multifamily units, should total 564,000 units this year but grow to 752,000 in 2010.

The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage will probably average 5.3 percent in the fourth quarter, rising gradually to 5.8 percent by the end of next year. NAR’s housing affordability index will set a record in 2009, averaging 30 percentage points higher than 2008. Affordability will decline from record highs next year but will remain at historically attractive levels for homebuyers.

“We’ve seen a steady downtrend in housing inventory for well over a year, and home prices appear to be in the early stages of stabilizing,” Yun says. “With expansion of the tax credit to additional buyers through the middle of next year, and no major unforeseen events impacting the economy, home prices should rise between 3 and 5 percent in 2010, but with wide geographic differences.”

He expects growth in the U.S. gross domestic product to be at a pace of 2.5 percent in the current quarter, with GDP up 2.8 percent in 2010.

The unemployment rate is close to peaking and is projected to ease to 9.5 percent by the end of next year.

“The size of the U.S. budget deficit is a concern going forward and carries the risk of higher inflation. At this point, that risk appears to be restrained,” Yun says. Inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index, is seen contracting 0.4 percent this year, then rising 1.6 percent in 2010. Inflation-adjusted disposable personal income is estimated to grow 0.4 percent this year and 1.2 percent next year.

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Sunday, November 01, 2009

Outlook for 2009 Miami Real Estate: It’s a buyer’s market !

Miami Real Estate - Now's the time to buy.

What’s the outlook for 2009? Florida Realtors® agree that it’s a buyer’s market! With lower prices and strong pent-up demand, Florida homes are highly attractive – especially to first-time and move-up buyers. Meanwhile, vacation residences continue to be warm-weather bargains to U.S. and international buyers.

Outlook for 2009: It’s a buyer’s market!
“We expect first-time homebuyers will be the largest segment next year,” says Ed Forman, president Watson Realty Corp., Jacksonville. “That includes a high percentage of single women buying their first property.”

The same pricing dynamics benefit working-age families in their 30s and 40s who may be moving into a starter home or looking for a move-up with more space for children, according to Mike Pappas, president and CEO, The Keyes Company, Miami. “For these buyers in particular, lower pricing is making Florida homes very attractive,” he says.

In many Florida markets, affluent buyers are picking up luxury properties as primary residences or second-homes – a trend likely to continue. “The high end of the Florida market has held up quite well,” says Brad Hunter, director, South Florida region, MetroStudy in Boca Raton.

International buyers remain an important component of the state’s market, especially in coastal areas like Miami, Fort Lauderdale, Naples and Sarasota, as well as Orlando/Kissimmee. Florida Association of Realtors research studies show buyers from Canada, United Kingdom, Mexico, South America and Europe generate more than 15 percent of residential transactions.

On the other hand, the traditional flow of retiree buyers to Florida remains uncertain in the year ahead. Slower economic conditions in the Northeast and Midwest – two prime feeder markets for Florida – may make it harder for retirees with modest incomes to make the big move to Florida. Many retirees are also faced with less purchasing power due to declines in their investment portfolio and may opt to stay put. However, the number of Baby Boomers reaching age 65 continues to increase and many of these prospective buyers will be considering Florida when the nation’s economic condition improves.

Market watch perspectives
If the opportunities for great value and investment potential are presented, will buyers hop the fence and buy? Experts weigh in.

Use these Web sites to get local stats and build your own market watch for prospective buyers and sellers.

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Saturday, October 31, 2009

Feds: Chinese drywall reports still inconclusive. Miami Real Estate

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WEST PALM BEACH, Florida – Federal studies released Thursday cannot yet definitively link imported Chinese drywall to health problems or corrosion of pipes and wires that thousands of U.S. homeowners have been reporting for nearly a year.

The Consumer Product Safety Commission, which is leading the multi-agency investigation, said it needs to further study the matter before it can consider a recall, ban or other solutions to help affected homeowners. Additional results from ongoing studies were due to be released next month.

“The expansive investigation and scientific work that has been done and continues to be carried out is all aimed at providing answers and solutions,” Lori Saltzman, a director in the CPSC’s Office of Hazard Identification and Reduction, said Thursday. “No connections have been made yet.”

Saltzman said the agency, which has so far spent $3.5 million on the studies, has received nearly 1,900 homeowner complaints during one of its largest consumer product investigations in U.S. history.

“We understand this problem has literally driven people from their homes,” she said.

Homeowners, however, were frustrated by a lack of answers.

“So many of us have been really waiting on these results released today to offer us encouragement, but in fact, we’re quite disappointed,” said Holly Krulik, of Parkland, Florida, about 45 miles north of Miami.

Krulik and her husband, Doug, along with their two young children, moved in with her parents about six months ago because she says the Chinese wallboard in their home was making them sick and ruining the house.

“We’re hanging on by a thread here. When is help going to arrive?” said Krulik, who will soon join hundreds of others who have filed lawsuits.

Thousands of homeowners like the Kruliks who bought new houses built with the potentially defective materials are finding their lives in limbo as the lawsuits against builders, contractors, suppliers and manufacturers wind through the courts.

During the height of the U.S. housing boom, with building materials in short supply, American construction companies imported millions of pounds (kilograms) of Chinese-made drywall because it was abundant and cheap. An Associated Press analysis of shipping records found that more than 500 million pounds (226 million kilograms) of Chinese gypsum board was imported between 2004 and 2008 – enough to have built tens of thousands of homes.

They are heavily concentrated in the Southeast, especially Florida and areas of Louisiana and Mississippi hit hard by Hurricane Katrina.

The defective materials have since been found by state and federal agencies to emit “volatile sulfur compounds.” Officials have also found traces of strontium sulfide, which can produce a rotten-egg odor, along with organic compounds not found in American-made drywall. Homeowners complain the fumes are corroding copper pipes, destroying TVs and air conditioners, blackening jewelry and silverware, and making them sick.

And some homeowners are reporting that their insurance companies are dropping or refusing to renew their policies based on the presence of the wallboard in their houses, putting them at risk of foreclosure.

The federal test results released Thursday largely confirmed what prior testing had found. The multiple agencies investigating, including the CPSC, the Environmental Protection Agency and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, acknowledged the reported health symptoms are consistent with some sort of contamination. But the culprit is unclear.

The Chinese government is assisting with the investigation.

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Monday, July 27, 2009

June new home sales rise 11 percent Miami Real Estate 800-819-5466

Miami Florida Real Estate

WASHINGTON (AP) – New U.S. home sales rose by the largest amount in more than eight years last month, in another sign the housing market is finally bouncing back from the worst downturn in decades.

The Commerce Department said Monday that sales rose 11 percent in June to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 384,000, from an upwardly revised May rate of 346,000.

It was the strongest sales pace since November 2008 and exceeded the forecasts of economists surveyed by Thomson Reuters, who expected a pace of 360,000 units. The last time sales rose so dramatically was in December 2000.

Sales have risen for three straight months. The median sales price of $206,200, however, was down 12 percent from $234,300 a year earlier and down nearly 6 percent from $219,000 in May.

The report is another encouraging sign that the beleaguered housing sector is finally coming back to life. Last Thursday, the National Association of Realtors reported that home resales posted a monthly increase of 3.6 percent in June.

There were 281,000 new homes for sale at the end of June, down more than 4 percent from May. At the current sales pace, that represents 8.8 months of supply — the lowest level since October 2007.

Fallout from the housing crisis has played a central role in the U.S. recession, now the longest since World War II. Foreclosures have spiked, homebuilders have slashed construction, and financial companies have lost billions.

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Copyright © 2009 The Associated Press, Alan Zibel, AP real estate writer.

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Thursday, April 02, 2009

Chinese drywall spurs lawsuits and problems. Miami Realtor - Dean Isenberg 800-819-5466

ORLANDO, Fla. – Drywall imported from China continues to make headlines nationwide, and a growing number of lawsuits have been filed in Florida. In response to the problem, FAR’s Business Forms Forum Task Force is considering a new form that addresses Chinese drywall problems. Task force members are slated to discuss the issue again on April 6.

Attorneys with Higer Lichter Givner, The Blumstein Law Firm and Podhurst Orseck have filed a federal class action lawsuit on behalf of Florida homeowners Janet Morris-Chin and Dajan Green. They’ve targeted Knauf Plasterboard Tianjin Co. Ltd., and the foreign company that distributed that company’s drywall within the United States, Rothchilt International Ltd.

Drywall manufactured in China was used in U.S. homes between 2004 and 2007. According to the lawsuit, toxic chemicals that emanate from the drywall have damaged houses, fixtures and personal property. Members of the class action are also seeking medical monitoring for any adverse effects of prolonged exposure to the toxic chemicals.

“We have filed a national class action because more than 60,000 homes in 13 states are believed to have defective Chinese drywall,” says Victor M. Diaz with Podhurst Orseck. “We anticipate that when the Consumer Products Safety Commission completes its investigation, this product will be recalled across the country. This could be potentially one of the largest product liability cases related to home construction in U.S. history.”

Morris-Chin and Green purchased their home in Homestead, Fla. Shortly afterward, they noticed damage from the defective drywall: an air-conditioning coil was black and iced over when it should have been copper-colored and ice-free; and two home computers stopped working and the nearby wiring was covered in black soot. The family also developed physical problems, including respiratory ailments and headaches.

So far, the Florida Department of Health has received more than 100 complaints concerning the Chinese drywall and health concerns. Lawsuits are being filed in Florida, Alabama and Louisiana, while residents in Mississippi, Virginia and California have also reported problems.

On Monday, U.S. Sens. Bill Nelson, (D-Fla.), and Mary Landrieu, (D-La.), proposed legislation seeking a recall and an immediate ban on tainted building products from China.

© 2009 FLORIDA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

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Thursday, March 05, 2009

Foreclosures drove up 2008 U.S. home sales

Miami Real Estate – Foreclosures drove U.S. home sales up 7 percent in 2008 after a 40 percent plunge the prior year, with eligible buyers lured by deep discounts and low loan rates, according to real estate data company Radar Logic.

So-called “motivated sales,” or foreclosed houses sold at auctions or by financial institutions, surged 177 percent last year while all other sales in the 25 metro areas tracked by Radar Logic fell by 17 percent.

“The market seems to have migrated to the point where motivated sales have become a far more constant part of the housing sales market,” Michael Feder, chief executive of Radar Logic, told Reuters.

These distressed transactions represented as much as a third of all activity last year, he said.

The housing market has swooned from 2006 record highs, glutted with unsold homes, including foreclosed properties and empty new construction.

“Buyers recognize that those are at significant discounts versus what all other people are asking for homes and are migrating to those first,” Feder said. Ultimately, that could be a positive for housing, suggesting there is a price point that has been reached that is attracting buyers, he added.

Prices sank in all 25 metro areas, pushing the Radar Logic composite index down 22 percent for the year.

The biggest sales gains were in areas with the largest annual price declines: California, Nevada, Arizona and Florida.

In California, motivated sales accounted for 47 percent of total sales in December, up from 23 percent a year earlier, based on Radar Logic data.

Falling mortgage rates bolstered sales, with Freddie Mac’s 5.1 percent average 30-year rate in December the lowest since the home funding company started keeping records in 1971.

Lower mortgage rates curb monthly payments, but do little to help potential owners come up with the increasingly large down payments that lenders require, Feder noted.

There is reason for optimism that President Barack Obama’s $275 billion home stability program will kick-start the worst housing market downturn since the Great Depression, though a dearth of specific details makes it unlikely a turnaround will be swift, Feder said.

The program aims to reduce foreclosures and press mortgage rates down.

In the latest sign of housing sickness, pending sales of existing homes slid sharply in January as the recession deterred buyers, based on a National Association of Realtors index that fell to a record low. The measure, based on contracts signed in January, tumbled 7.7 percent to 80.4, the lowest since the trade group started the series in 2001.

Feder contends that three major problems still darken the picture: the oversupply of unsold homes, restrictive access to mortgage credit and reticence of non-distressed home sellers to slash their asking prices.

“We get a turnaround in all three of those and I think we’ll have a housing recovery,” he said.

Access to mortgage money remains limited, with lenders battered by record foreclosures stemming from years of looser lending practices.

“We hear anecdotally that there are a lot of deals that are cut, but then buyers can’t get mortgages for more than 60 percent of the purchase prices, even though it’s at this ‘motivated’ price level,” Feder said.

“The mortgage money simply isn’t providing the capital necessary,” he added. “If the stimulus package begins to help make mortgage money available at numbers more like 80 to 85 percent loan to value, that’s going top help a lot.”

House prices are unlikely to rise before the supply imbalance improves.

To get that, “We’re going to need to have some balance between the absorption of motivated sales and a capitulation by non-motivated sellers to the new price levels,” Feder said.

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Tuesday, February 10, 2009

When will Miami Real Estate prices bottom out ?

Miami Real Estate Deals – Housing prices will hit bottom in the fourth quarter of 2009, predicts Moody’s Economy.com in a new report.

“Despite the darkening national economic outlook and the weak conditions in the housing market, some positive signs give hope that a bottom in the housing market is coming into view,” the report says.

On average, home prices will decline 36 percent from the peak in the first quarter of 2006, the report says.

By the end of the housing downturn, nearly 62 percent of the nation’s 381 metropolitan areas will have experienced double-digit-percent declines in house prices, peak-to-trough, says the report.

The declines will exceed 20 percent in about 100 metro areas, according to the report, and the recovery will be “lackluster.”

“A number of uncertainties in both the housing and economic outlooks remain, and the risks tilt to the downside,” says Moody’s Economy.com Chief Economist, Mark Zandi.

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Thursday, December 25, 2008

Parc Central Aventura Condo For Rent 305-936-2489 Dean Isenberg Aventura-Homes.Com



Aventura Parc Central For Rent.
2 Bedroom / 2 Bathroom
www.Aventura-Homes.Com
(305) 936-2489
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Wednesday, October 08, 2008

NAR: Pending home sales surged 7.4% in August

Miami Real Estate Information

WASHINGTON – Pending home sales activity surged as buyers took advantage of low home prices and affordable interest rates, according to the National Association of Realtors® (NAR).

The Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI), a forward-looking indicator based on contracts signed in August, jumped 7.4 percent to 93.4 from an upwardly revised reading of 87.0 in July, and is 8.8 percent higher than August 2007 when it stood at 85.8. The index is at the highest level since June 2007 when it stood at 101.4.

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said home buyers were responding to improved affordability.

“What we’re seeing is the momentum of people taking advantage of low home prices, with pending home sales up strongly in California, Nevada, Arizona, Florida, Rhode Island and the Washington, D.C., region,” Yun says. “It’s unclear how much contract activity may be impacted by the credit disruptions on Wall Street, but we’re hopeful most of the increase will translate into closed existing-home sales.”

The PHSI in the West surged 18.4 percent to 109.5 in August and remains 37.8 percent above a year ago. In the Northeast the index jumped 8.4 percent to 79.8 and is 2.0 percent higher than August 2007. The index in the Midwest rose 3.6 percent to 84.5 in August and is 6.6 percent above a year ago. In the South, the index increased 2.3 percent to 96.0 but is 2.1 percent below August 2007.

Yun notes the unusual timing of contract activity in August. “Home buyers in July were hampered by overly stringent lending criteria in the months before the government takeover of Fannie and Freddie,” he says. “August shows some unleashing of pent-up demand before the credit crisis accelerated in September.”

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He cautioned that the sampling size for pending home sales is smaller than the track on existing-home sales, so there is more volatility in the forward-looking series. “We need to see just how much of this gain holds up,” Yun says.

NAR President Richard F. Gaylord, a broker with RE/MAX Real Estate Specialists in Long Beach, Calif., says despite all the turmoil in world financial markets, home mortgages are available. “Mortgages have been harder to find, and availability and terms vary depending on credit score and location, but Realtors can help buyers find reputable lenders while helping them navigate the transaction process,” he says. “The recently enacted economic stimulus package should help housing by gradually freeing the flow of credit.”

Yun now expects growth in the U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) to contract for two consecutive quarters, in the fourth quarter of this year and the first quarter of 2009, before expanding in latter part of 2009 as the housing market begins a steady improvement.

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Looking at middle-ground assumptions, existing-home sales are forecast at 5.04 million this year and 5.41 million in 2009. Following national declines of 5 to 8 percent in 2008, home prices are projected to increase 2 to 3 percent next year.

New-home sales should total around 503,000 this year and 471,000 in 2009. Housing starts, including multifamily units, are likely to fall 28.2 percent to 973,000 units this year, and come in around 843,000 in 2009 as builders continue to clear the accumulation in inventory.

The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage will probably average 6.1 percent in the fourth quarter and rise gradually to 6.6 percent by the end of 2009. NAR’s housing affordability index is expected to average 18 percentage points higher this year than in 2007.

The unemployment rate is projected to average 6.4 percent in the fourth quarter and then average 6.6 percent in 2009. Inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index, is estimated at 4.0 percent for 2008 and 2.0 percent next year. Inflation-adjusted disposable personal income is forecast to grow 1.7 percent this year and 1.0percent in 2009.

For more information regarding the above web Blog, please call Dean or Bonnie Isenberg at 305-936-2489 / 800-819-5466 or visit them on-line at A-Realtor.Com

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Wednesday, October 01, 2008

Mortgage crisis cuts both ways Aventura Homes

South Florida Real Estate Information

MIAMI – Oct. 1, 2008 – She was only 21 when she decided to become a mortgage broker. A newlywed, Michelle LaPiana felt that her own broker had misled her and her husband during the daunting purchase of their first home in Hialeah.

She claims she fell prey to a bait and switch. The closing costs were nearly double what the couple previously had been told. By the time they sat with a title agent to sign the loan documents, it was too late to walk away without losing thousands of dollars.

“The closing costs were $9,680,” recalled LaPiana, now 38 and divorced. “I remember everything. I even remember my closing agent’s name.”

The incident angered her but also motivated her to help other people navigate the potentially treacherous process. A graduate of Hialeah-Miami Lakes High, she skipped college, got her license and launched what was a rewarding and successful career in mortgage lending.

Now, 17 years later, the former president of the Miami chapter of the Florida Association of Mortgage Brokers and once-ambitious subprime account executive finds herself broke and in foreclosure.

The single mother of two insists her story is not one of the recklessness, greed or fraud that has plagued the mortgage business and sparked the credit crisis on Wall Street.

Instead, she says, she is part of the damage left behind by an investment frenzy and a wave of opportunists who hijacked her profession and ran it in into the ground in just a few short years.

“I feel I was a victim, but I feel government is not going to help people like me,” LaPiana said.

LaPiana says she cannot find work in South Florida because of a new stigma attached to having worked in the world of subprime lending. Reports of felons having flooded the business during the boom years have not helped.

“They look at me as if ‘because of her this is why the economy is the way it is,’” LaPiana said.

The stigma may be worse in South Florida – often described as ground zero for subprime loans, or high-cost loans extended to borrowers with poor credit. Mortgages requiring no proof of income or assets were also widely sold. The high default rate among these loans is blamed for sparking the credit crunch that began a little over a year ago. Lenders began restricting access to credit to prevent future losses, leading to an economic slowdown.

But LaPiana says her role was less direct because she never sold a home to a borrower who couldn’t afford it.

Brian Kettenring, a head organizer with Florida ACORN, the Association of Community Organizations for Reform Now, a national grass-roots community activist organization, agreed that many real estate professionals are being unfairly painted with the same brush.

“There was a fair amount of predatory lending by brokers and lenders, but there are a lot of good people who work in the industry and too many of them are being hurt in the destruction of the industry as a whole,” Kettenring said.

Wave of failures

The ripple effects of the credit crunch hit an apex in recent weeks with the failure of the venerable investment bank Lehman Brothers; the near-collapse of American International Group, the world’s largest insurance company, and Washington Mutual’s seizure by federal regulators and subsequent sale in the biggest bank failures in U.S. history.

LaPiana said nobody foresaw the impending catastrophe from their respective corners. She views herself as among the tiniest of conduits in the vast matrix of players wheeling and dealing in the era of cheap money that made the housing boom possible.

After more than a decade of selling traditional mortgages, LaPiana was swept up in the excitement of new, innovative loans that made homeownership possible for millions of Americans.

In 2001, she joined Fieldstone Mortgage’s subprime division as a wholesale account executive. She would hold the same position at a string of other wholesalers over the next six years, specializing in high-cost and highly profitably subprime mortgages.

Wholesale lenders deal with mortgage companies and brokers who make their cash available to home buyers by immediately funding their loans. They do not deal with borrowers. Once the loans are brokered, the wholesalers, typically thinly capitalized companies, sell the debt to commercial banks, other lenders or investment houses, like former brokerage Bear Stearns.

“Subprime loans were the hot commodity of Wall Street. That’s all everybody wanted,” LaPiana said.

As an account executive, her job was visiting brokers and selling the loan programs offered by her company. Wholesalers generally compensate account executives based on the volume of business they bring to the company. For each million dollars LaPiana sold, she earned a half percentage point, or $5,000. In the peak years of the boom, she says she did an average of five deals a day. Sometimes, her biweekly paychecks topped $20,000.

“I still have the pay stubs,” LaPiana said ruefully, adding she couldn’t toss them because she hopes to once again earn such a handsome income.

The high life

With her new wealth, LaPiana traveled – skiing in Colorado and visiting New York City. She bought a top-of-the-line Jeep Commander and, after her divorce, a “dream home” in Kendall where she would live comfortably with her two girls and mother.

“I didn’t go overboard,” LaPiana insisted, “I didn’t buy the two investment properties, the two condos on the beach, but I should have saved more.”

Even though she was making almost $200,000 a year, her competitors, who sold loans requiring no proof of income or assets, were making more. LaPiana said many of the loans she sold didn’t ask for proof, but did require a borrower to submit evidence that they had filed an income tax return with the IRS as self-employed.

Such loans have been dubbed “liar loans” in the industry because of the high rate of fraud later found in mortgage applications when the homes went into foreclosure.

It was enough to give her competitors an edge. While LaPiana was pounding the pavements making sales to mortgage companies, many of her competitors were able to do most of their business by phone from their homes, she said.

The subprime lenders they worked for were also among the first to bite the dust when borrowers began defaulting in droves in 2007, she said. Soon LaPiana was jumping from job to job as four successive employers declared bankruptcy or closed their subprime divisions between 2006 and 2007.

Peter Ticktin, a Deerfield Beach lawyer who practices foreclosure defense, said the self-deluded industry imploded because it believed property values would continue rising, eliminating the risk of losses. “What was going on was a systematic Ponzi scheme,” Ticktin said. “It wasn’t where you had one main character organizing it. It wasn’t a conspiracy.”

The final insult

LaPiana’s last position was with the CIT Group, based in New York, which told its account executives last September they were out of a job.

“That one really hurt because it was like, ‘Where do you go from here?’ I realized there was a major problem. It all went rolling down,” she said.

Almost as fast as the subprime industry itself, LaPiana’s life went into a tailspin. She went from making great money to collecting unemployment. Her savings were eaten up by an expensive adjustable-rate loan, a car payment and the cost of supporting a family of four.

Her problems mounted as she struggled to find a job. In July, she woke up one morning and found her Jeep Commander missing from the driveway. It had been repossessed. “I knew it was going to happen,” she said. LaPiana made her last mortgage payment in May. The lenders are hounding her out of her half-million-dollar dream. She’s had to borrow money from friends.

“When your daughters ask you for money to go to the movies and you tell them . . . I can’t. …” LaPiana started to cry. “I have no insurance. I make my daughters drink their vitamins in the morning because they know they can’t get sick. I teach them how not to get sick.”

How does she cope with the stress?

“I smoke and drink a lot of coffee. I don’t sleep,” she said, wiping tears away.

Kettenring, of ACORN, said his organization was accepting applications for foreclosure prevention counselors at their South Florida office, and most were coming from former brokers.

“It’s incredible the number of people who are applying for those positions that have worked in the industry for years,” Kettering said, “We’re seeing the near total collapse of the housing industry including the employment of people who worked in the industry.”

Despite the trials, LaPiana hasn’t given up.

Described by her friends as a self-starter and a fighter, she recently got a license to sell insurance and is trying to build a book of business.

She still stays involved with mortgage lending, keeping up with new regulations. Her brokers license remains valid.

For more information regarding the above web Blog, please call Dean or Bonnie Isenberg at 305-936-2489 / 800-819-5466 or visit them on-line at A-Realtor.Com

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Wednesday, September 24, 2008

Short sales: A win-win or a minefield ? Call The Miami Short Sale Exprets 800-819-5466

Miami Real Estate Information

MIAMI, FLORIDA – Short sales are a financial tactic that appears only in real estate downturns. Such sales are supposed to be a win-win that gets the seller out of a tight spot, a buyer a good deal and the bank off the hook.

But what sounds like a logical alternative to the usual outcome of defaults - foreclosure - can be a minefield. Critics charge banks with being shortsighted and a menace to neighborhood home values. Banks say they have obligations to their investors. Some say inexperienced real estate agents forward irrational offers and incomplete paperwork, then expect fast miracles from their inundated staff members.

The result inside this real estate downturn has often been frustration for sellers, buyers and banks. Banks have been resistant, operating in a new financial landscape that requires permission from global investors and other parties. Many real estate agents simply avoid short sales, steering buyers to bank repos. And sellers have become frustrated by complications and 60- to 90-day timetables.

"We did everything we could do, to do the right thing, and we're not getting anywhere," said Chris Britton of Orangevale, Calif. He said he's waited five months for his lender to respond to an offer.

The lender, Bank of America, insists that he pay thousands of dollars in late fees, he said, for accepting a short sale.

Britton's real estate agent, Kathy Gheen of Fair Oaks, Calif., said it's unreasonable. Meanwhile, Britton's buyer waits. All agree the house is headed to foreclosure if nothing changes.

Agents who try short sales often accuse banks of being shortsighted, even harming the market.

Miami Real Estate Information

"If we could get to a point where a quarter of sales ... were short sales, we would see price stabilization more quickly. The neighborhoods would be maintained and the properties would not be invitations to crime," said Scott Thompson, partner in Mortgage Resolution Services in Carmichael, Calif.

Thompson, one of the Sacramento region's most successful short sale specialists, said banks too often ignore short sale offers, then lose $40,000 foreclosing and more selling the home in a declining market.

Bankers agree about foreclosure losses and say it may partly explain rising short sale numbers reported to the state.

But in places like California, where 78 percent of defaults end in foreclosure, according to DataQuick Information Systems, they say short sales are troublesome.

Miami Real Estate Information

"All the lien holders have to release it. It may be palatable to us. It may not be palatable to another lender. That's one of the realities of short sales. It's a practical legal reality that has to be met," said David Bradley, spokesman for Bank of America and its recent Countrywide acquisition.

Banks prefer loan modifications over short sales, said Robert Satnick, president of the California Mortgage Bankers Association. Freezing or lowering interest rates helps people who want to stay with the house. Short sales aim at owners who just want out. He also cited problems with incomplete short sale applications.

"The banks are inundated," he said. "If you give them an incomplete application, it's going to the bottom of the pile."

Pepperdine University finance professor Len Rushfield, a former bank president, said short sales may be rising but are still too much work for most banks.

"It's easier to foreclose. There's a direct process there," he said. "It may be financially a better result if you get it done through a short sale, but getting it done is the blockage."

What's the No. 1 secret to getting a short sale done successfully?

"The first thing is to contact your servicer and let them know you intend to sell," said David Knight, vice president for Wells Fargo & Co.'s default and retention division.

"In this challenging environment, if you let us know early, we can get things ready, go through the financials and get ahead of the offer. Then we can make a decision quickly."

Miami Real Estate Information

He said too often, people submit the entire packet with their first offer. Sometimes it's incomplete.

"If you have done your paperwork, you are significantly better off to benefit from the deal that comes in," he said.

For more information regarding the above web Blog, please call Dean or Bonnie Isenberg at 305-936-2489 / 800-819-5466 or visit them on-line at A-Realtor.Com

Click Here To E-Mail The “I-Team”

Click Here To Request More Information About The Above Web Blog

South Florida Real Estate Information

Miami Real Estate Information

Sell Your Boat On-Line

Thank You !

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Short sales: A win-win or a minefield ? Call The Miami Short Sale Exprets 800-819-5466

Miami Real Estate Information

MIAMI, FLORIDA – Short sales are a financial tactic that appears only in real estate downturns. Such sales are supposed to be a win-win that gets the seller out of a tight spot, a buyer a good deal and the bank off the hook.

But what sounds like a logical alternative to the usual outcome of defaults - foreclosure - can be a minefield. Critics charge banks with being shortsighted and a menace to neighborhood home values. Banks say they have obligations to their investors. Some say inexperienced real estate agents forward irrational offers and incomplete paperwork, then expect fast miracles from their inundated staff members.

The result inside this real estate downturn has often been frustration for sellers, buyers and banks. Banks have been resistant, operating in a new financial landscape that requires permission from global investors and other parties. Many real estate agents simply avoid short sales, steering buyers to bank repos. And sellers have become frustrated by complications and 60- to 90-day timetables.

"We did everything we could do, to do the right thing, and we're not getting anywhere," said Chris Britton of Orangevale, Calif. He said he's waited five months for his lender to respond to an offer.

The lender, Bank of America, insists that he pay thousands of dollars in late fees, he said, for accepting a short sale.

Britton's real estate agent, Kathy Gheen of Fair Oaks, Calif., said it's unreasonable. Meanwhile, Britton's buyer waits. All agree the house is headed to foreclosure if nothing changes.

Agents who try short sales often accuse banks of being shortsighted, even harming the market.

Miami Real Estate Information

"If we could get to a point where a quarter of sales ... were short sales, we would see price stabilization more quickly. The neighborhoods would be maintained and the properties would not be invitations to crime," said Scott Thompson, partner in Mortgage Resolution Services in Carmichael, Calif.

Thompson, one of the Sacramento region's most successful short sale specialists, said banks too often ignore short sale offers, then lose $40,000 foreclosing and more selling the home in a declining market.

Bankers agree about foreclosure losses and say it may partly explain rising short sale numbers reported to the state.

But in places like California, where 78 percent of defaults end in foreclosure, according to DataQuick Information Systems, they say short sales are troublesome.

Miami Real Estate Information

"All the lien holders have to release it. It may be palatable to us. It may not be palatable to another lender. That's one of the realities of short sales. It's a practical legal reality that has to be met," said David Bradley, spokesman for Bank of America and its recent Countrywide acquisition.

Banks prefer loan modifications over short sales, said Robert Satnick, president of the California Mortgage Bankers Association. Freezing or lowering interest rates helps people who want to stay with the house. Short sales aim at owners who just want out. He also cited problems with incomplete short sale applications.

"The banks are inundated," he said. "If you give them an incomplete application, it's going to the bottom of the pile."

Pepperdine University finance professor Len Rushfield, a former bank president, said short sales may be rising but are still too much work for most banks.

"It's easier to foreclose. There's a direct process there," he said. "It may be financially a better result if you get it done through a short sale, but getting it done is the blockage."

What's the No. 1 secret to getting a short sale done successfully?

"The first thing is to contact your servicer and let them know you intend to sell," said David Knight, vice president for Wells Fargo & Co.'s default and retention division.

"In this challenging environment, if you let us know early, we can get things ready, go through the financials and get ahead of the offer. Then we can make a decision quickly."

Miami Real Estate Information

He said too often, people submit the entire packet with their first offer. Sometimes it's incomplete.

"If you have done your paperwork, you are significantly better off to benefit from the deal that comes in," he said.

For more information regarding the above web Blog, please call Dean or Bonnie Isenberg at 305-936-2489 / 800-819-5466 or visit them on-line at A-Realtor.Com

Click Here To E-Mail The “I-Team”

Click Here To Request More Information About The Above Web Blog

South Florida Real Estate Information

Miami Real Estate Information

Sell Your Boat On-Line

Thank You !

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